What is the BTTS percentage shown for each team in Carioca - 1 2026?

BTTS % is the share of the team's prior Carioca - 1 2026 matches where both teams scored, computed strictly before this fixture's kickoff.

How is the over 2.5 goals percentage calculated?

+2.5 % is the share of the team's prior Carioca - 1 matches in 2026 that finished with three or more total goals.

Why do the team odds shown differ from the markets percentages?

Markets % is the team's historical hit rate across prior Carioca - 1 matches. Odds is the bookmaker's pre-match price for this specific fixture. The gap is where value lives.

How are the pre-match snapshots calculated?

Every metric is computed from all finished Carioca - 1 2026 matches strictly before this fixture's kickoff datetime, scoped to each team's matches only.

Are these stats updated live?

Snapshot values are recomputed within a few hours after each match completes. Live match progress is shown on the match detail page; on this table, in-progress fixtures use a pulsing LIVE badge.

Matches played in the current season before this fixture.

Wins recorded in finished matches before this fixture.

Draws recorded in finished matches before this fixture.

Losses recorded in finished matches before this fixture.

Consecutive run of identical results — e.g. W4 means four wins in a row going into this match.

Points per game — total points divided by matches played.

Composite team strength rating combining results, xG and form — pre-match snapshot before this fixture.

Long-term quality — a slower-moving baseline rating that smooths short-term variance.

Short-term momentum index — how the team has trended over its most recent matches.

Outcome stripe of the team's last 10 league matches (W/D/L), most recent on the right.

Composite quality indices (Overall, LTQ, Hype) reflecting the team's pre-match level.

Goals For — total goals scored across prior season matches.

Goals Against — total goals conceded across prior season matches.

Goal difference — goals scored minus goals conceded across prior season matches.

What is Goals Scored?

Average goals scored per prior match.

What is Goals Conceded?

Average goals conceded per prior match.

What is Avg Total Goals?

Mean total goals across prior matches.

A match in which the team did not concede a goal.

What is Clean Sheet %?

Share of prior matches finished without conceding a goal.

Both teams to score — the share of prior matches where both sides scored at least once.

Share of prior matches where both teams scored.

Share of prior matches that finished with two or more total goals.

Share of prior matches with three or more total goals.

Expected goals — a chance-quality measure expressing how many goals an average team would have scored from the shots taken.

Mean expected goals for, averaged across prior matches.

Mean expected goals against, averaged across prior matches.

Expected goal difference — xGF minus xGA, a per-match indicator of underlying dominance.

Bookmaker's pre-match decimal odds for home win / draw / away win — not an average, this fixture's actual price.

Bookmaker's pre-match odds for Over and Under 2.5 total goals — this fixture's actual prices.

Bookmaker's pre-match odds for both teams to score — Yes and No prices for this fixture.

Mean total cards (yellow plus red) per prior match.

Carioca - 1

BrazilLeagueSeason 202662/132 matches played

Carioca - 1 2026 results — match-by-match stats, xG, PPG and BTTS percentages

Every Carioca - 1 2026 fixture with both teams' pre-match snapshot: form, PPG, xG, BTTS %, over 2.5 % and bookmaker odds — all rolling, all in one table.

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Match	Streak						Form				Goals			Markets					Odds			xG			Discipline
Match	P	W	D	L	Streak	PPG	OVR	LTQ	HYPE	Last 10 (League)	GF	GA	GD	CS	BTTS	+1.5	+2.5	Avg TG	1X2	O/U 2.5	BTTS	xGF	xGA	xGD	TC	CK

Final

Mar 08

17:00

PEN

Fluminense0

Flamengo0

D1W4

2.441.78

64%68%

72%59%

55%77%

1.562.67

0.781.11

0.781.56

33%33%

56%56%

56%89%

44%78%

2.333.78

13.51

X2.84

22.16

Over 2.52.57

Under 2.51.47

BTTS Yes2.10

BTTS No1.65

—1.26

—1.08

—0.18

2.80.23.0

1.40.11.6

3.437.67

Round 6

Mar 08 15:00 FT Portuguesa RJ5 CFRJ / Maricá2	1111	42	31	48	W1D1	1.360.64	70%30%	63%35%	76%26%	W D	1.270.82	1.091.82	0.18-1.00	36%18%	46%46%	82%64%	18%55%	2.362.64	12.91 X3.16 22.26	Over 2.52.07 Under 2.51.69	BTTS Yes1.81 BTTS No1.89	1.001.01	1.081.03	-0.08-0.02	4.30.14.4 3.30.03.3	5.004.00
Mar 08 15:00 FT Nova Iguaçu2 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0	1111	15	62	44	D3L1	0.821.55	48%55%	44%54%	53%55%	D L	1.181.55	1.361.82	-0.18-0.27	9%18%	73%73%	73%91%	46%64%	2.553.36	11.58 X3.54 25.33	Over 2.52.09 Under 2.51.69	BTTS Yes2.03 BTTS No1.69	—2.12	—0.90	—1.22	4.00.04.0 3.00.13.1	3.004.67

Final

Mar 07

16:00

Botafogo3

Bangu1

D1D1

1.441.56

55%53%

47%58%

63%49%

1.001.11

0.781.22

0.22-0.11

56%11%

22%67%

67%78%

22%44%

1.782.33

1—

X—

2—

Over 2.5—

Under 2.5—

BTTS Yes—

BTTS No—

0.76—

3.17—

-2.41—

2.40.42.8

1.90.01.9

4.752.00

Semi-finals

Mar 02

19:00

Madureira0

Flamengo8

L1W3

1.381.62

60%59%

55%55%

65%63%

0.882.00

1.251.25

-0.380.75

25%25%

50%63%

75%88%

50%75%

2.123.25

112.67

X5.26

21.21

Over 2.51.70

Under 2.52.08

BTTS Yes2.43

BTTS No1.50

2.101.26

1.451.08

0.650.18

2.60.02.6

1.50.11.6

3.887.25

Round 5

Mar 02

18:00

Portuguesa RJ2

Sampaio Corrêa RJ0

1010

D1W1

1.201.70

51%62%

52%54%

49%70%

1.201.70

1.201.80

0.00-0.10

30%20%

50%80%

80%90%

20%70%

2.403.50

11.82

X3.16

24.14

Over 2.52.24

Under 2.51.60

BTTS Yes2.03

BTTS No1.69

0.993.17

1.070.76

-0.082.41

4.60.14.7

3.00.13.1

4.864.88

Semi-finals

Mar 01

16:00

Fluminense1

Vasco DA Gama1

W6L1

2.621.50

73%41%

77%46%

70%35%

1.621.25

0.750.62

0.880.62

38%50%

50%25%

50%50%

50%25%

2.381.88

11.96

X3.07

23.71

Over 2.52.28

Under 2.51.59

BTTS Yes2.01

BTTS No1.71

——

2.20.22.4

1.20.31.5

3.835.00

Round 5

Mar 01

15:00

CFRJ / Maricá2

Nova Iguaçu2

1010

L2D2

0.600.80

35%36%

39%45%

31%28%

0.701.10

1.801.30

-1.10-0.20

20%10%

40%70%

60%70%

50%40%

2.502.40

12.91

X3.04

22.31

Over 2.52.21

Under 2.51.61

BTTS Yes1.91

BTTS No1.79

1.01—

1.03—

-0.02—

3.30.03.3

4.00.04.0

4.003.00

Semi-finals

Feb 28 17:30 FT Botafogo0 Boavista SC0	88	42	02	44	W1L2	1.501.00	54%28%	52%36%	55%21%	W L	1.120.88	0.881.50	0.25-0.62	50%13%	25%50%	75%75%	25%38%	2.002.38	1— X— 2—	Over 2.5— Under 2.5—	BTTS Yes— BTTS No—	0.761.45	3.172.10	-2.41-0.65	2.60.43.0 2.00.02.0	5.144.62
Feb 27 18:00 FT Volta Redonda1 Bangu1	88	34	31	23	L1W1	1.501.62	52%51%	56%56%	48%45%	L W	1.251.12	0.881.25	0.38-0.12	25%13%	50%63%	63%75%	38%50%	2.122.38	11.55 X3.56 25.61	Over 2.52.14 Under 2.51.65	BTTS Yes2.13 BTTS No1.62	1.18—	1.14—	0.04—	2.50.12.6 2.00.02.0	2.882.33

Round 4

Feb 26 15:00 FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ2 CFRJ / Maricá1	99	42	20	37	D1L1	1.560.67	56%32%	55%37%	58%27%	D L	1.670.67	1.891.78	-0.22-1.11	22%22%	78%33%	89%56%	67%44%	3.562.44	12.12 X3.06 23.26	Over 2.52.19 Under 2.51.62	BTTS Yes1.89 BTTS No1.81	3.171.01	0.761.03	2.41-0.02	2.90.13.0 3.20.03.2	4.433.71
Feb 26 15:00 FT Nova Iguaçu1 Portuguesa RJ1	99	13	42	44	D1W1	0.781.22	43%57%	46%57%	41%58%	D W	1.111.22	1.331.22	-0.220.00	11%33%	67%44%	67%78%	44%22%	2.442.44	12.64 X2.76 22.75	Over 2.52.65 Under 2.51.44	BTTS Yes2.14 BTTS No1.63	—0.99	—1.07	—-0.08	4.00.04.0 4.60.14.7	3.004.86

Round 3

Feb 23 18:00 FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ1 Nova Iguaçu1	88	41	13	34	W2L1	1.620.75	62%36%	54%45%	70%28%	W L	1.751.12	2.001.38	-0.25-0.25	25%13%	75%63%	88%63%	75%50%	3.752.50	12.53 X2.89 22.74	Over 2.52.28 Under 2.51.58	BTTS Yes1.90 BTTS No1.79	3.17—	0.76—	2.41—	2.90.13.0 4.00.04.0	4.433.00
Feb 23 15:00 FT CFRJ / Maricá0 Portuguesa RJ2	88	22	02	64	W1L1	0.751.00	35%51%	39%52%	31%49%	W L	0.751.12	1.751.38	-1.00-0.25	25%25%	38%50%	50%75%	50%25%	2.502.50	12.45 X2.92 22.82	Over 2.52.28 Under 2.51.57	BTTS Yes1.92 BTTS No1.78	1.010.99	1.031.07	-0.02-0.08	2.80.02.8 4.50.24.7	3.674.50

Semi-finals

Feb 22 18:30 FT Flamengo3 Madureira0	77	33	12	32	W2W1	1.431.57	58%64%	53%52%	64%75%	W W	1.861.00	1.431.00	0.430.00	14%29%	71%57%	86%71%	71%43%	3.292.00	11.12 X6.86 216.65	Over 2.51.44 Under 2.52.58	BTTS Yes2.32 BTTS No1.53	1.262.10	1.081.45	0.180.65	1.60.11.7 2.70.02.7	8.144.43
Feb 22 16:00 FT Vasco DA Gama0 Fluminense1	77	36	30	11	D1W5	1.712.57	52%82%	51%76%	53%88%	D W	1.431.71	0.570.86	0.860.86	57%29%	29%57%	57%57%	29%57%	2.002.57	13.29 X2.97 22.15	Over 2.52.10 Under 2.51.69	BTTS Yes1.82 BTTS No1.89	——	——	——	0.80.41.2 1.50.01.5	4.834.00
Feb 21 19:00 FT Boavista SC0 Botafogo2	77	23	20	34	L1L3	1.141.29	51%28%	42%45%	60%11%	L L	1.001.00	1.431.00	-0.430.00	14%43%	57%29%	71%71%	43%29%	2.432.00	1— X— 2—	Over 2.5— Under 2.5—	BTTS Yes— BTTS No—	1.450.76	2.103.17	-0.65-2.41	2.00.02.0 2.70.53.2	5.145.17

Round 2

Feb 20

18:00

Sampaio Corrêa RJ3

Portuguesa RJ2

W1D1

1.431.14

49%57%

50%53%

49%62%

1.571.00

2.001.14

-0.43-0.14

29%29%

71%43%

86%71%

71%14%

3.572.14

12.48

X2.86

22.83

Over 2.52.47

Under 2.51.49

BTTS Yes2.04

BTTS No1.68

3.170.99

0.761.07

2.41-0.08

3.00.23.2

5.00.25.2

5.004.80

Semi-finals

Feb 20

18:00

Bangu1

Volta Redonda0

L1D2

1.431.71

47%62%

55%57%

38%68%

1.141.43

1.430.86

-0.290.57

0%29%

71%57%

86%71%

57%43%

2.572.29

13.94

X3.07

21.91

Over 2.52.28

Under 2.51.57

BTTS Yes2.00

BTTS No1.71

—1.18

—1.14

—0.04

1.80.01.8

2.70.12.9

2.603.14

Quarter-finals

Feb 16

16:00

Fluminense3

Bangu1

W4D1

2.501.67

77%54%

72%62%

83%46%

1.501.17

0.831.17

0.670.00

33%0%

50%67%

50%83%

50%50%

2.332.33

11.16

X5.94

213.30

Over 2.51.55

Under 2.52.29

BTTS Yes2.30

BTTS No1.55

——

2.00.02.0

1.50.01.5

3.253.25

Round 2

Feb 16

15:00

Nova Iguaçu0

CFRJ / Maricá1

D1L5

0.860.43

42%28%

51%38%

33%17%

1.290.71

1.432.00

-0.14-1.29

14%14%

71%43%

71%57%

57%57%

2.712.71

11.96

X3.03

23.75

Over 2.52.20

Under 2.51.62

BTTS Yes1.94

BTTS No1.76

—1.01

—1.03

—-0.02

4.00.04.0

2.80.02.8

3.003.67

Quarter-finals

Feb 15 15:30 FT Botafogo1 Flamengo2	66	32	01	33	L2W1	1.501.17	39%57%	56%51%	21%63%	L W	1.001.83	0.831.50	0.170.33	50%17%	17%67%	67%83%	17%67%	1.833.33	14.53 X3.28 21.74	Over 2.52.21 Under 2.51.62	BTTS Yes2.04 BTTS No1.69	0.761.26	3.171.08	-2.410.18	2.80.63.4 1.80.22.0	5.208.67
Feb 14 19:30 PEN Vasco DA Gama1 Volta Redonda1	66	33	22	11	W1D1	1.831.83	54%62%	48%55%	61%70%	W D	1.501.50	0.500.83	1.000.67	67%33%	17%50%	50%67%	33%50%	2.002.33	11.38 X4.11 27.32	Over 2.51.88 Under 2.51.86	BTTS Yes2.08 BTTS No1.66	—1.18	—1.14	—0.04	0.80.51.3 2.50.22.7	3.003.33
Feb 13 15:00 FT Madureira2 Boavista SC1	66	22	22	22	D2D2	1.331.33	46%51%	47%43%	46%58%	D D	0.831.00	1.001.33	-0.17-0.33	33%17%	50%50%	67%67%	33%33%	1.832.33	12.55 X2.80 22.78	Over 2.52.49 Under 2.51.48	BTTS Yes2.03 BTTS No1.69	——	——	——	2.50.02.5 2.20.02.2	5.004.50

Round 1

Feb 12 15:00 FT CFRJ / Maricá0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ4	66	12	01	53	L4L1	0.501.17	32%46%	45%52%	19%39%	L L	0.831.17	1.672.33	-0.83-1.17	17%17%	50%83%	50%83%	50%67%	2.503.50	12.24 X2.98 23.08	Over 2.52.28 Under 2.51.58	BTTS Yes1.92 BTTS No1.77	1.013.17	1.030.76	-0.022.41	3.00.03.0 3.40.23.6	2.805.60
Feb 11 15:00 FT Portuguesa RJ1 Nova Iguaçu1	66	21	12	33	W2L2	1.170.83	55%43%	54%52%	57%33%	W L	1.001.33	1.171.50	-0.17-0.17	33%17%	33%67%	67%67%	17%67%	2.172.83	12.78 X2.76 22.64	Over 2.52.80 Under 2.51.38	BTTS Yes2.20 BTTS No1.58	0.99—	1.07—	-0.08—	5.00.25.2 4.00.04.0	4.803.00

Round 6

Feb 08 18:30 FT Fluminense1 CFRJ / Maricá0	55	41	00	14	W3L3	2.400.60	73%34%	67%46%	78%21%	W L	1.601.00	1.001.80	0.60-0.80	20%20%	60%60%	60%60%	60%60%	2.602.80	11.18 X5.46 213.41	Over 2.51.73 Under 2.52.03	BTTS Yes2.53 BTTS No1.46	—1.01	—1.03	—-0.02	2.00.02.0 3.00.03.0	3.673.50
Feb 08 16:00 FT Vasco DA Gama2 Botafogo0	55	23	20	12	D1L1	1.601.80	49%54%	46%63%	52%44%	D L	1.401.20	0.600.60	0.800.60	60%60%	20%20%	40%60%	40%20%	2.001.80	11.49 X3.72 26.26	Over 2.52.17 Under 2.51.64	BTTS Yes2.24 BTTS No1.57	—0.76	—3.17	—-2.41	0.70.71.3 3.00.33.3	1.756.00
Feb 07 19:00 FT Volta Redonda1 Madureira1	55	32	11	12	W1D1	2.001.40	59%45%	52%44%	66%46%	W D	1.600.80	0.801.00	0.80-0.20	40%40%	40%40%	60%60%	60%40%	2.401.80	11.93 X2.92 24.15	Over 2.52.36 Under 2.51.54	BTTS Yes2.04 BTTS No1.69	1.18—	1.14—	0.04—	2.80.23.0 2.00.02.0	3.005.60
Feb 07 19:00 FT Bangu1 Boavista SC1	55	32	01	22	W1D1	1.801.40	62%46%	65%37%	59%54%	W D	1.201.00	1.201.40	0.00-0.40	0%20%	60%40%	80%60%	60%40%	2.402.40	1— X— 2—	Over 2.5— Under 2.5—	BTTS Yes— BTTS No—	——	——	——	1.70.01.7 2.50.02.5	2.674.60
Feb 07 19:00 FT Portuguesa RJ1 Nova Iguaçu0	55	11	12	32	W1L1	0.801.00	48%45%	52%54%	45%35%	W L	1.001.60	1.401.60	-0.400.00	20%20%	40%80%	80%80%	20%80%	2.403.20	12.78 X2.89 22.50	Over 2.52.33 Under 2.51.56	BTTS Yes1.92 BTTS No1.78	0.99—	1.07—	-0.08—	5.00.25.2 4.00.04.0	4.803.00
Feb 07 19:00 FT Flamengo7 Sampaio Corrêa RJ1	55	12	11	32	L1D1	0.801.40	35%51%	48%60%	22%41%	L D	0.801.20	1.601.40	-0.80-0.20	20%20%	60%80%	80%80%	60%60%	2.402.60	11.04 X9.70 237.18	Over 2.51.41 Under 2.52.72	BTTS Yes3.50 BTTS No1.26	1.263.17	1.080.76	0.182.41	2.20.22.4 4.00.34.3	8.007.00

Round 5

Feb 02 18:00 FT Madureira0 Vasco DA Gama0	44	22	01	21	L1W1	1.501.75	45%45%	41%45%	50%45%	L W	1.001.75	1.250.75	-0.251.00	25%50%	50%25%	75%50%	50%50%	2.252.50	14.14 X3.17 21.84	Over 2.52.08 Under 2.51.68	BTTS Yes1.92 BTTS No1.78	——	——	——	2.00.02.0 0.51.01.5	6.001.33
Feb 02 15:00 FT CFRJ / Maricá1 Volta Redonda2	44	12	01	31	L2D1	0.751.75	43%56%	51%47%	34%65%	L D	1.001.50	1.750.75	-0.750.75	25%50%	50%25%	50%50%	50%50%	2.752.25	12.81 X2.90 22.49	Over 2.52.23 Under 2.51.60	BTTS Yes1.87 BTTS No1.83	0.89—	0.89—	0.00—	2.00.02.0 2.80.33.0	3.333.00
Feb 01 18:30 FT Botafogo0 Fluminense1	44	33	00	11	W2W2	2.252.25	80%73%	73%67%	88%79%	W W	1.501.75	0.501.25	1.000.50	75%0%	25%75%	75%75%	25%75%	2.003.00	12.62 X2.81 22.77	Over 2.52.08 Under 2.51.68	BTTS Yes1.75 BTTS No1.95	0.76—	3.17—	-2.41—	3.00.33.3 2.00.02.0	6.003.67
Jan 30 18:30 FT Nova Iguaçu1 Bangu2	44	12	20	12	D1L1	1.251.50	52%52%	55%65%	49%38%	D L	1.751.00	1.501.25	0.25-0.25	25%0%	75%50%	75%75%	75%50%	3.252.25	11.92 X2.95 24.12	Over 2.52.46 Under 2.51.49	BTTS Yes2.19 BTTS No1.60	——	——	——	4.00.04.0 1.70.01.7	3.002.67
Jan 30 17:00 FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ1 Boavista SC1	44	22	00	22	W1L1	1.501.50	58%45%	62%33%	55%56%	W L	1.251.00	1.501.50	-0.25-0.50	25%25%	75%25%	75%50%	75%50%	2.752.50	12.53 X2.99 22.67	Over 2.52.10 Under 2.51.67	BTTS Yes1.81 BTTS No1.88	3.17—	0.76—	2.41—	4.30.34.7 2.30.02.3	7.335.00

Round 4

Jan 27 15:00 FT CFRJ / Maricá0 Sampaio Corrêa RJ1	33	11	00	22	L1L1	1.001.00	47%51%	53%61%	40%40%	L L	1.331.33	2.002.00	-0.67-0.67	33%0%	67%100%	67%100%	67%100%	3.333.33	12.16 X3.02 23.22	Over 2.52.20 Under 2.51.62	BTTS Yes1.87 BTTS No1.83	0.893.17	0.890.76	0.002.41	2.50.02.5 4.50.55.0	3.008.50
Jan 26 18:30 FT Nova Iguaçu2 Volta Redonda2	33	12	10	11	L1L1	1.332.00	56%56%	52%47%	61%65%	L L	1.671.33	1.330.33	0.331.00	33%67%	67%0%	67%33%	67%33%	3.001.67	12.99 X2.71 22.53	Over 2.52.41 Under 2.51.50	BTTS Yes1.95 BTTS No1.76	——	——	——	——— 2.70.33.0	—3.33
Jan 26 15:00 FT Madureira0 Portuguesa RJ2	34	20	01	13	W2L3	2.000.25	50%34%	46%48%	54%21%	W L	1.330.75	1.001.75	0.33-1.00	33%0%	67%50%	67%75%	67%25%	2.332.50	12.29 X2.92 23.07	Over 2.52.31 Under 2.51.56	BTTS Yes1.94 BTTS No1.76	—0.99	—1.07	—-0.08	1.00.01.0 4.80.35.0	5.005.25
Jan 25 18:30 FT Boavista SC0 Vasco DA Gama3	33	21	01	11	W2L1	2.001.33	46%46%	35%44%	58%48%	W L	1.331.33	1.001.00	0.330.33	33%33%	33%33%	33%33%	33%33%	2.332.33	14.06 X3.25 21.83	Over 2.52.10 Under 2.51.67	BTTS Yes1.92 BTTS No1.78	——	——	——	2.30.02.3 0.51.01.5	6.671.50
Jan 25 16:00 FT Fluminense2 Flamengo1	34	21	01	12	W1W1	2.001.00	61%55%	65%66%	57%44%	W W	1.670.75	1.331.50	0.33-0.75	0%25%	67%50%	67%75%	67%50%	3.002.25	13.61 X2.78 22.17	Over 2.52.83 Under 2.51.40	BTTS Yes2.27 BTTS No1.56	—1.26	—1.08	—0.18	0.50.00.5 2.30.32.5	3.008.50
Jan 24 19:00 FT Botafogo2 Bangu0	33	22	00	11	W1W1	2.002.00	69%65%	70%68%	69%61%	W W	1.331.33	0.671.00	0.670.33	67%0%	33%67%	67%67%	33%67%	2.002.33	11.24 X4.78 212.04	Over 2.51.73 Under 2.52.01	BTTS Yes2.29 BTTS No1.55	0.76—	3.17—	-2.41—	3.70.34.0 1.50.01.5	5.002.00

Round 3

Jan 22 19:30 FT Nova Iguaçu2 Fluminense3	22	11	10	01	D1L1	2.001.50	65%56%	57%64%	72%48%	D L	1.501.00	0.501.00	1.000.00	50%0%	50%50%	50%50%	50%50%	2.002.00	15.50 X3.37 21.59	Over 2.52.30 Under 2.51.56	BTTS Yes2.24 BTTS No1.57	——	——	——	——— 0.50.00.5	—3.00
Jan 22 17:00 FT Boavista SC3 Portuguesa RJ2	23	10	01	12	W1L2	1.500.33	34%41%	30%50%	39%32%	W L	0.500.33	0.501.33	0.00-1.00	50%0%	0%33%	0%67%	0%0%	1.001.67	1— X— 2—	Over 2.5— Under 2.5—	BTTS Yes— BTTS No—	—0.99	—1.07	—-0.08	2.00.02.0 4.30.34.7	7.504.67
Jan 22 15:00 FT Madureira2 Sampaio Corrêa RJ1	22	11	00	11	W1W1	1.501.50	43%52%	44%60%	42%44%	W W	1.001.50	1.002.00	0.00-0.50	50%0%	50%100%	50%100%	50%100%	2.003.50	12.19 X2.85 23.40	Over 2.52.32 Under 2.51.55	BTTS Yes1.93 BTTS No1.77	—3.17	—0.76	—2.41	0.50.00.5 4.00.04.0	5.0015.00
Jan 21 19:30 FT Flamengo1 Vasco DA Gama0	32	01	11	20	L2D1	0.332.00	52%50%	65%46%	38%54%	L D	0.672.00	2.001.00	-1.331.00	0%50%	67%50%	100%50%	67%50%	2.673.00	11.72 X3.38 24.43	Over 2.52.16 Under 2.51.63	BTTS Yes2.03 BTTS No1.69	1.26—	1.08—	0.18—	2.30.32.7 1.01.02.0	7.333.00
Jan 21 17:00 FT Botafogo1 Volta Redonda0	22	12	00	10	L1W2	1.503.00	69%59%	67%47%	71%71%	L W	1.502.00	1.000.00	0.502.00	50%100%	50%0%	100%50%	50%50%	2.502.00	11.46 X3.77 26.59	Over 2.52.02 Under 2.51.73	BTTS Yes2.14 BTTS No1.63	0.76—	3.17—	-2.41—	4.50.55.0 2.50.53.0	5.004.50
Jan 21 15:00 FT CFRJ / Maricá1 Bangu2	22	11	00	11	W1L1	1.501.50	58%59%	60%66%	56%52%	W L	1.501.00	2.001.00	-0.500.00	50%0%	50%50%	50%50%	50%50%	3.502.00	12.07 X2.98 23.47	Over 2.52.27 Under 2.51.57	BTTS Yes1.95 BTTS No1.76	0.89—	0.89—	0.00—	2.50.02.5 1.50.01.5	3.002.00

Round 2

Jan 18 18:30 FT Portuguesa RJ0 CFRJ / Maricá1	21	00	10	11	L1L1	0.500.00	55%45%	56%53%	54%37%	L L	0.502.00	1.504.00	-1.00-2.00	0%0%	50%100%	100%100%	0%100%	2.006.00	11.83 X3.19 24.14	Over 2.52.29 Under 2.51.57	BTTS Yes2.07 BTTS No1.67	1.08—	1.26—	-0.18—	5.00.05.0 2.00.02.0	4.505.00
Jan 18 18:30 FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ2 Botafogo1	11	01	00	10	L1W1	0.003.00	48%77%	57%70%	40%85%	L W	1.002.00	3.000.00	-2.002.00	0%100%	100%0%	100%100%	100%0%	4.002.00	12.41 X3.15 22.64	Over 2.52.13 Under 2.51.65	BTTS Yes1.87 BTTS No1.83	——	——	——	——— 5.00.05.0	—5.00
Jan 18 16:00 FT Vasco DA Gama0 Nova Iguaçu0	11	11	00	00	W1W1	3.003.00	48%64%	44%56%	52%71%	W W	4.003.00	2.001.00	2.002.00	0%0%	100%100%	100%100%	100%100%	6.004.00	11.66 X3.32 25.02	Over 2.52.14 Under 2.51.65	BTTS Yes2.04 BTTS No1.69	——	——	——	1.01.02.0 ———	3.00—
Jan 17 19:30 FT Volta Redonda3 Flamengo0	12	10	01	01	W1L1	3.000.50	51%63%	42%72%	60%54%	W L	1.001.00	0.001.50	1.00-0.50	100%0%	0%100%	0%100%	0%50%	1.002.50	11.78 X3.47 24.06	Over 2.52.07 Under 2.51.69	BTTS Yes1.93 BTTS No1.77	—1.26	—1.08	—0.18	5.01.06.0 2.50.02.5	5.009.00
Jan 17 16:30 FT Bangu0 Madureira1	11	10	00	01	W1L1	3.000.00	67%28%	71%39%	62%17%	W L	2.001.00	1.002.00	1.00-1.00	0%0%	100%100%	100%100%	100%100%	3.003.00	12.82 X2.79 22.55	Over 2.52.75 Under 2.51.41	BTTS Yes2.16 BTTS No1.61	——	——	——	2.00.02.0 1.00.01.0	1.005.00
Jan 17 16:30 FT Boavista SC1 Fluminense0	11	01	00	10	L1W1	0.003.00	28%62%	26%69%	29%55%	L W	0.002.00	1.001.00	-1.001.00	0%0%	0%100%	0%100%	0%100%	1.003.00	14.92 X3.20 21.73	Over 2.52.03 Under 2.51.72	BTTS Yes1.88 BTTS No1.82	——	——	——	4.00.04.0 0.00.00.0	11.004.00

Round 1

Jan 15 19:30 FT Vasco DA Gama4 CFRJ / Maricá2	00	00	——	——	35%57%	39%55%	32%59%	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	11.38 X4.13 27.38	Over 2.51.84 Under 2.51.88	BTTS Yes2.07 BTTS No1.66	——	——	——	——— ———	——
Jan 15 17:00 FT Portuguesa RJ0 Botafogo2	10	10	D1—	1.00—	59%73%	56%70%	62%76%	D —	1.00—	1.00—	0.00—	0%—	100%—	100%—	0%—	2.00—	11.93 X3.30 23.66	Over 2.52.10 Under 2.51.67	BTTS Yes1.89 BTTS No1.80	1.08—	1.26—	-0.18—	5.00.05.0 ———	4.00—
Jan 15 15:00 FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ1 Nova Iguaçu3	00	00	——	——	62%56%	62%51%	62%62%	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	12.52 X2.81 22.84	Over 2.52.42 Under 2.51.51	BTTS Yes1.97 BTTS No1.74	——	——	——	——— ———	——
Jan 14 19:30 FT Bangu2 Flamengo1	01	01	—D1	—1.00	67%72%	70%72%	63%73%	— D	—1.00	—1.00	—0.00	—0%	—100%	—100%	—0%	—2.00	13.20 X2.93 22.24	Over 2.52.11 Under 2.51.66	BTTS Yes1.81 BTTS No1.88	—1.26	—1.08	—0.18	——— 2.00.02.0	—9.00
Jan 14 17:00 FT Fluminense2 Madureira1	00	00	——	——	60%29%	65%43%	55%14%	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	11.56 X3.63 25.65	Over 2.52.03 Under 2.51.72	BTTS Yes2.03 BTTS No1.69	——	——	——	——— ———	——
Jan 14 15:00 FT Volta Redonda1 Boavista SC0	00	00	——	——	39%25%	38%24%	39%26%	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	——	1— X— 2—	Over 2.5— Under 2.5—	BTTS Yes— BTTS No—	——	——	——	——— ———	——

Round 5

Jan 11

16:00

Flamengo1

Portuguesa RJ1

——

79%59%

75%57%

84%61%

——

12.33

X3.06

22.89

Over 2.52.08

Under 2.51.68

BTTS Yes1.80

BTTS No1.89

——

———

——

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Every Carioca - 1 2026 fixture with the rolling pre-match snapshot of both teams at kickoff: matches played, wins/draws/losses, points per game, last 10 results, goals scored and conceded averages, clean sheet and BTTS hit rates, over 1.5 and over 2.5 goal percentages, expected goals (xGF, xGA, xGD), average cards and corners, plus the 1×2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS pre-match odds. Built for Carioca - 1 bettors comparing team form trajectories across the 2026 season.

How to read the Streak block

P, W, D, L count finished Carioca - 1 matches before kickoff. Streak is the team's current run (e.g. W4 means four wins on the bounce). PPG is points-per-game across that record — anything above 2.0 in 2026 is title-pace form.

How to read the Markets block

Each market column shows how often the team's prior Carioca - 1 matches in 2026 hit that line. BTTS % is the share where both teams scored. +2.5 % is the share with three or more goals. Avg TG is the mean total goals.

How to read the Odds block

1×2, Over/Under 2.5 and BTTS columns are the bookmaker's pre-match decimal odds for this Carioca - 1 fixture — not averages. Compare them directly to the team's historical market % to spot value.

How to read the xG block

xGF and xGA are mean expected goals for and against per prior match in 2026. xGD = xGF − xGA. Teams whose xGD trends ahead of actual results are often under-priced by the book.

Frequently asked questions

Where can I find every Carioca - 1 2026 match with team form snapshots?: The Results tab on this page lists every Carioca - 1 2026 fixture with the rolling pre-match snapshot of both teams — PPG, last 10, BTTS %, over 2.5 %, xG and pre-match odds in a single row.
What is the BTTS percentage shown for each team in Carioca - 1 2026?: BTTS % is the share of the team's prior Carioca - 1 2026 matches where both teams scored, computed strictly before this fixture's kickoff.
How is the over 2.5 goals percentage calculated?: +2.5 % is the share of the team's prior Carioca - 1 matches in 2026 that finished with three or more total goals.
Why do the team odds shown differ from the markets percentages?: Markets % is the team's historical hit rate across prior Carioca - 1 matches. Odds is the bookmaker's pre-match price for this specific fixture. The gap is where value lives.
How are the pre-match snapshots calculated?: Every metric is computed from all finished Carioca - 1 2026 matches strictly before this fixture's kickoff datetime, scoped to each team's matches only.
Are these stats updated live?: Snapshot values are recomputed within a few hours after each match completes. Live match progress is shown on the match detail page; on this table, in-progress fixtures use a pulsing LIVE badge.

Glossary

P: — Matches played in the current season before this fixture.
W: — Wins recorded in finished matches before this fixture.
D: — Draws recorded in finished matches before this fixture.
L: — Losses recorded in finished matches before this fixture.
Streak: — Consecutive run of identical results — e.g. W4 means four wins in a row going into this match.
PPG: — Points per game — total points divided by matches played.
Overall: — Composite team strength rating combining results, xG and form — pre-match snapshot before this fixture.
LTQ: — Long-term quality — a slower-moving baseline rating that smooths short-term variance.
Hype: — Short-term momentum index — how the team has trended over its most recent matches.
Last 10: — Outcome stripe of the team's last 10 league matches (W/D/L), most recent on the right.
Form: — Composite quality indices (Overall, LTQ, Hype) reflecting the team's pre-match level.
GF: — Goals For — total goals scored across prior season matches.
GA: — Goals Against — total goals conceded across prior season matches.
GD: — Goal difference — goals scored minus goals conceded across prior season matches.
Goals Scored: — Average goals scored per prior match.
Goals Conceded: — Average goals conceded per prior match.
Avg Total Goals: — Mean total goals across prior matches.
Clean sheet: — A match in which the team did not concede a goal.
Clean Sheet %: — Share of prior matches finished without conceding a goal.
BTTS: — Both teams to score — the share of prior matches where both sides scored at least once.
BTTS %: — Share of prior matches where both teams scored.
+1.5 %: — Share of prior matches that finished with two or more total goals.
+2.5 %: — Share of prior matches with three or more total goals.
xG: — Expected goals — a chance-quality measure expressing how many goals an average team would have scored from the shots taken.
xGF: — Mean expected goals for, averaged across prior matches.
xGA: — Mean expected goals against, averaged across prior matches.
xGD: — Expected goal difference — xGF minus xGA, a per-match indicator of underlying dominance.
1×2: — Bookmaker's pre-match decimal odds for home win / draw / away win — not an average, this fixture's actual price.
O/U 2.5: — Bookmaker's pre-match odds for Over and Under 2.5 total goals — this fixture's actual prices.
BTTS odds: — Bookmaker's pre-match odds for both teams to score — Yes and No prices for this fixture.
Avg Cards: — Mean total cards (yellow plus red) per prior match.
Avg Corners: — Mean corners per prior match.