Match outcome rankings by league — BTTS, home/draw/away splits & goal thresholds

Compare 1,200+ leagues across 150+ countries — goals per match, xG, cards, corners and outcome frequencies ranked side-by-side

League1home winsXdraws2away wins+1.5total goals+2.5total goals+3.5total goalsBTTSboth score+3.5+4.5+8.5+9.5ProgressseasonQualityrating
J1 League
Japan
41%26%33%76%48%27%54%22%8%56%45%
100%
Bundesliga
Austria
46%27%27%79%52%33%56%59%35%59%41%
100%
Premier Soccer League
South Africa
33%41%26%61%32%19%44%51%24%52%43%
99%
CAF Champions League
World
50%29%21%60%32%14%29%————
100%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
World
42%35%23%72%37%17%44%77%58%59%44%
68%
Eliteserien
Norway
52%22%26%85%55%33%57%46%27%70%59%
33%
AFC Champions League Elite
World
49%25%26%70%48%29%49%53%36%63%48%
100%
Liga I
Romania
48%31%21%64%42%29%50%73%56%69%49%
100%
2. Bundesliga
Germany
51%24%25%80%53%32%58%61%40%61%46%
100%
World Cup - Qualification Oceania
World
39%11%50%94%78%44%50%————
100%
About this view

Match outcome rankings by league — BTTS, home/draw/away splits & goal thresholds

The Markets view ranks all 1,200+ leagues by match outcome frequency — how often each league produces home wins, draws and away wins, plus how often matches clear the BTTS (both teams to score), over 1.5, over 2.5 and over 3.5 goal thresholds. Open, attacking leagues typically post BTTS rates above 60%, while defensive top flights sit closer to 45–55% on the over-2.5 line. Sort any column to see the global ranking on a single outcome.

Home advantage varies dramatically by league. Top flights with strong home crowds and difficult travel often post home-win rates above 50%; balanced European leagues sit closer to 42–46%. The over 2.5 goals threshold is the single most-tracked scoring frequency in football analytics — open attacking leagues clear 60%, while defensively organized leagues often hover around 45%. BTTS rates correlate tightly with defensive standards: stronger defenses = lower BTTS.

Use the time period filter to compare whole-season frequencies with the league's last 5, 10 or 20 matches. An outcome that's been printing at 60% all season but has dropped to 40% over the last five games is the kind of trend reversal analysts watch for — usually a signal of a tactical shift, manager change or squad-rotation effect. Hide-empty keeps the ranking tight on leagues with data for your sort column.

Glossary

What each market column means

1 (Home Win %)
Share of matches won by the home team. Reads home-advantage strength league by league.
X (Draw %)
Share of matches that end level. Higher draw rates point to closely-matched, defensively organized leagues.
2 (Away Win %)
Share of matches won by the away side. Combined with 1 + X, the three values always total 100%.
BTTS %
Both Teams to Score frequency. Above 55% means clean sheets are rare in this league.
O2.5 %
Share of matches finishing with 3 or more total goals. The single most-tracked scoring threshold in football analytics — open attacking leagues regularly clear 60%.
O3.5 %
Share of matches finishing with 4 or more total goals. The signal that a league is genuinely high-scoring.
Methodology

How match outcome percentages are calculated

Every percentage here is a historical frequency over the time window you pick — not a prediction.

  1. Data source. Full-time match results across every fixture in the selected period, aggregated from sports data APIs and processed through our statistical pipeline.
  2. Calculation. Each outcome (1, X, 2, BTTS, O1.5/O2.5/O3.5) is the share of matches in which it occurred. The 1+X+2 columns always total 100% for any given window.
  3. Refresh cadence. Percentages re-aggregate within a few hours of every match completing. Switching the period filter (Season → Last 5/10/20) instantly re-windows the calculation.
  4. Limits. A frequency describes what has happened. It is not a probability and not a forecast — current form, injuries, suspensions and squad changes can shift the next match's outcome away from the historical mean.
FAQ

Match outcome rankings — frequently asked questions

Which league has the highest over 2.5 goals percentage?

Over 2.5 means at least 3 total goals are scored in a match. Open, high-scoring leagues regularly post over-2.5 frequencies above 60% (3 in every 5 matches), while tactical, defense-first leagues often hover around 45%. The live ranking moves week to week — sort the O2.5 column to see which competition leads right now across all 1,200+ leagues.

Which league has the highest BTTS (Both Teams to Score) percentage?

BTTS percentage is the share of matches in which both teams score at least once. Open, attacking leagues regularly clear 60% — meaning both teams score in 6 of every 10 matches. Defensively stronger leagues sit lower, around 45–50%. Sort the BTTS column to see the current ranking.

How should I read these outcome percentages as an analyst?

Treat them as a statistical baseline — the league's historical distribution of outcomes over the time window you pick. Pair them with current form, injuries and head-to-head context before drawing any conclusion. A frequency describes what has happened — it is not a probability and not a forecast for the next match.

Which European league has the highest home win percentage?

Among European top flights, leagues with strong home crowds and difficult travel can post home-win rates above 50%, while balanced top flights sit closer to 42–46%. Eastern and Southern European leagues tend to skew higher on home advantage than Northern and Western ones. Sort the 1 (Home Win %) column to see the live ranking right now.

Why ProBettingHub for league statistics

Three reasons analysts pick this dashboard for cross-league research — especially since FBref restricted its advanced data in January 2026.

1,200+ leagues, one ranking

Premier League next to Saudi Pro League next to J-League. Every major competition the world plays — from UEFA top flights to South American Primeras to Asian Super Leagues — ranked side-by-side on the same metric in seconds.

Every metric, every column sortable

Goals per match, xG, cards, corners, BTTS, over/under thresholds and home/draw/away splits. Click any column header to re-rank all 1,200+ leagues by that metric. Switch the period filter to compare whole-season averages against last-5, last-10 or last-20 windows.

Stats, not picks

We don't sell predictions and we don't push tips. We surface the raw league-level numbers — xG, finishing efficiency, defensive consistency, refereeing intensity — so you can read each league for what it actually is, not what someone wants to sell you.