J1 League·
5th place·06/06/2026·06:00 AM
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
DWDDW
2-1
Extra Time
HT0-0AET2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
DLLWW
📍 Machida GION Stadium, Machida
Season statsJ1 League
Zelvia19matchesGrampus19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in J1 League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
69%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

47%
1717
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1468
69%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
68%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

36%
1.89
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

4.33

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1919
1.74
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.58
42%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

42%
47%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

32%
11%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%
37%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%
21%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

11%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1919
1.32
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.74
79%
Scored > 0.584%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

89%
74%
Over 1.582%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

89%
47%
Over 2.558%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

68%
26%
Over 3.532%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

37%
53%
BTTS61%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

68%
16%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

21%
21%
Scored Both Halves32%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

42%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1919
1.11
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.58
11.05
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.37
4.11
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.37
3.05
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.79
74%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
37%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1919
1.17
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.45
1.18
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.67
-0.01
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.22
0.02
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.23
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1919
11.95
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.47
3.89
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.84
7.37
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.00
62%
Box Shot %64%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

67%
33%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
11%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1919
44%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
79%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

78%
397.32
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

424.63
-0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1919
47%9/19
Leading at HT39%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

32%6/19
42%8/19
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

47%9/19
11%2/19
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

21%4/19
74%14/19
HT/FT Same Outcome68%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%12/19
67%6/9
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

83%5/6
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered13%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

25%1/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 19/1919/191919
19%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
15%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
23%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
15%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

18%
15%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

15%
12%
76-90+'16%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 19/1919/191919
82%14/17
Scored First69%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%10/18
18%3/17
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%8/18
57%8/14
Win when Scoring First64%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

70%7/10
0%0/3
Win when Conceding First6%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

13%1/8
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 19/1919/191919
21%4/19
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

32%6/19
32%6/19
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

53%10/19
67%6/9
Lead Saved after 75'70%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

73%8/11
33%3/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

27%3/11
0%0/19
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 19/1919/191919
92%24/26
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%33/33
4%1/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/33
4%1/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/33
15%3/20
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/30
0%0/20
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/30

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1919
4.05
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.05
3.47
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.74
54%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

52%
0.68
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.27
26%5/19
Match Corners > 8.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

68%13/19
26%5/19
Match Corners > 9.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

53%10/19
16%3/19
Match Corners > 10.526%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

37%7/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 19/1919/191919
1.21
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

0.74
5%1/19
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/19
10.32
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

8.89
33%3/9
Match Cards > 3.539%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

45%5/11
9/1911/19
22%2/9
Match Cards > 4.525%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

27%3/11
9/1911/19
65%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeZelvia at home · Grampus on the road
910
1.67
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.30
44%4/9
Win Rate37%

Share of sampled matches won.

30%3/10
22%2/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%3/10
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
1.11
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.90
44%4/9
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%2/10
33%3/9
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%8/10
44%4/9
Over 2.552%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%6/10
1.31
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.48
0.94
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.05