Jupiler Pro League·
Regular Season - 27·03/01/2026·13:15
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
WLWLD
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Dender
Dender
LLLLD
📍 Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Season statsJupiler Pro League
Brugge26matchesDender26matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Jupiler Pro League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
57%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

28%
1496
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1413
51%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

35%
64%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

21%
3.11
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.75

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2626
1.04
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.65
23%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

12%
35%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

31%
42%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

58%
23%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

15%
23%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

38%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2626
1.31
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.81
77%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

62%
88%
Over 1.579%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

69%
46%
Over 2.548%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
27%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

27%
62%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%
8%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

8%
12%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

15%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2626
1.54
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.69
14.15
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.58
5.04
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.46
3.46
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.88
25/26
69%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

62%
23%
Clean Sheet19%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

15%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2626
1.42
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.30
1.57
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.52
-0.15
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.22
-0.03
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.26
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2626
13.38
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.85
4.15
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.85
9.73
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.77
73%
Box Shot %72%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
31%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
10%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

7%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2626
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
363.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

388.08
-0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.05

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2626
27%7/26
Leading at HT21%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

15%4/26
35%9/26
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

46%12/26
38%10/26
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

38%10/26
73%19/26
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

54%14/26
86%6/7
Led at HT → Won55%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

25%1/4
30%3/10
Trailed at HT → Recovered20%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

10%1/10

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 26/2626/262626
9%
0-15'19%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

29%
11%
16-30'8%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
43%
31-45'26%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
9%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
11%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
17%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 26/2626/262626
29%7/24
Scored First34%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

39%9/23
71%17/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

61%14/23
71%5/7
Win when Scoring First52%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

33%3/9
6%1/17
Win when Conceding First3%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/14
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

17'
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 26/2626/262626
23%6/26
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

23%6/26
19%5/26
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

42%11/26
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
8%2/26
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

12%3/26

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 26/2626/262626
71%25/35
Open-Play Share79%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%18/21
26%9/35
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

14%3/21
3%1/35
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/21
10%4/40
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%5/45
3%1/40
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/45

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2626
4.65
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.54
5.42
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.35
46%
Corner Share43%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

40%
-0.49
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.67
62%16/26
Match Corners > 8.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%13/26
58%15/26
Match Corners > 9.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

38%10/26
50%13/26
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

31%8/26

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 26/2626/262626
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.12
15%4/26
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

12%3/26
10.65
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.19
68%15/22
Match Cards > 3.565%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

62%13/21
22/2621/26
41%9/22
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%12/21
22/2621/26
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBrugge at home · Dender on the road
1313
0.54
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.77
8%1/13
Win Rate12%

Share of sampled matches won.

15%2/13
62%8/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

54%7/13
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.92
2.15
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.62
0%0/13
Clean Sheet4%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

8%1/13
85%11/13
BTTS77%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

69%9/13
69%9/13
Over 2.562%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

54%7/13
1.47
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.20
1.69
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.68