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Match Intelligence
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Updated 7h ago
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A high-stakes battle for European positioning sees Eintracht Frankfurt desperately searching for defensive stability against a SC Freiburg side that remains a defensive fortress but struggles significantly on the road. With only two points separating them in the standings, this clash in the shadow of the Commerzbank-Arena could define their respective seasons.
Home Motivation
High
Currently sitting 8th, a win is mandatory for Eintracht Frankfurt to leapfrog their visitors and arrest a slide that threatens to derail their European qualification hopes.
Away Motivation
High
Sitting 7th, SC Freiburg needs to prove they can perform away from home to solidify their grip on a top-seven finish and distance themselves from their direct rivals.
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The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.21
xG Conceded per Game
All comps (EWMA)
1.34
Freiburg is significantly more compact defensively, conceding 0.56 xG less per game than Frankfurt.
80%
BTTS %
Bundesliga ONLY (last 10)
60%
Frankfurt's league games are highly likely to see both sides score, 22% above the league average.
9.69
Total Shots per Game
All comps (EWMA)
13.03
Freiburg creates more shooting opportunities despite having lower possession than Frankfurt.
20%
Win Rate %
Bundesliga ONLY (last 10)
50%
Freiburg has been more effective at finding wins in recent league play compared to Frankfurt's struggles.
1.99
Yellow Cards per Game
All comps (EWMA)
1.26
Both sides are disciplined, with Freiburg averaging the league's lowest card counts.
Form & Streaks
Eintracht Frankfurt has seen Both Teams to Score in 80% of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
SC Freiburg has managed only 1 win in their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Eintracht Frankfurt has only won 1 of their last 10 matches (1W, 3D, 6L) in all competitions.
Tactical Overview
This match features two sides struggling for consistency. Eintracht Frankfurt has endured a brutal run, winning just one of their last 10 matches across all competitions (1W, 3D, 6L) and conceding an average of 2.10 goals per game. However, Albert Riera receives a major boost with Robin Koch returning to stabilize a backline that recently shipped three goals to both Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund. SC Freiburg is the league's ultimate home-away enigma; while they have won four straight at home, they have secured just one victory in their last 10 away trips across all competitions (1W, 3D, 6L). Tactically, Vincenzo Grifo remains the primary engine for Julian Schuster, but the absence of the suspended Jan-Niklas Beste robs them of a vital creative outlet. Expect Frankfurt to dominate possession (49% vs 46%) while Freiburg relies on the scoring form of Igor Matanović to exploit a home defense that has only kept a clean sheet in 10% of their last 10 matches.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Jonathan Burkardt has shown strong attacking form recently, returning from injury to score against Bayern Munich and offering a significant threat up front. Robin Koch is a vital part of the defense and his return from illness will be crucial for stability. Mario Götze is expected to be recalled to the starting lineup and provides experience and creativity in midfield.
Absences
Michy Batshuayi
broken ankle
Younes Ebnoutalib
knee injury
Ansgar Knauff
abdominal injury/surgery
Rasmus Kristensen
ankle injury
Arthur Theate
knee injury
Elias Baum
medial collateral ligament injury
Can Uzun
muscle injury
Home
Key Players
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Jonathan Burkardt has shown strong attacking form recently, returning from injury to score against Bayern Munich and offering a significant threat up front. Robin Koch is a vital part of the defense and his return from illness will be crucial for stability. Mario Götze is expected to be recalled to the starting lineup and provides experience and creativity in midfield.
Absences
Michy Batshuayi
broken ankle
Younes Ebnoutalib
knee injury
Ansgar Knauff
abdominal injury/surgery
Rasmus Kristensen
ankle injury
Arthur Theate
knee injury
Elias Baum
medial collateral ligament injury
Can Uzun
muscle injury
Away
Key Players
For SC Freiburg, Vincenzo Grifo is a key playmaker, often involved in set pieces and dangerous attacking movements. Igor Matanović has been in good scoring form, posing a threat to the opposition's defense. Matthias Ginter is a crucial defender and has recently been among the goal scorers.
Absences
Philipp Lienhart
abdominal injury
Max Rosenfelder
hamstring injury
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
knee injury/fitness
Jan-Niklas Beste
accumulated yellow cards
Johan Manzambi
red card suspension
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Referee Profile
Christian Dingert, Germany
7 matches officiated · 2025/26
Cards/G
4.2
▲
avg 4.0
Fouls/G
24.4
▲
avg 21.5
Christian Dingert has been assigned to this clash; he averages 4.15 cards per game across 7 Bundesliga matches this season. This is 2.5% above the league average, indicating a standard level of strictness that shouldn't drastically inflate the card markets unless the game becomes unusually physical.
Weather & Pitch
Good Conditions
12C
Temperature
12.3°C
Rain Chance
0%
Wind
9 km/h
Humidity
44%
With sunny conditions and a mild 12.3°C temperature, the weather will not hinder the technical play of Mario Götze or Vincenzo Grifo. The light 9.0 km/h wind is negligible, suggesting no adverse impact on set pieces or long-range shooting.
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