Everton vs Burnley – 1X2 Match Outcome Analysis & Probabilities | Premier League

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

1st Half

2nd Half

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Total Goals

Home vs Away Strength

Home

Away

Last 20

AVG

Attack

Defense

Season

AVG

Attack

Defense

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Total Goals

Form & Performance

Home vs Away Strength

Home

Away

Last 20

AVG

Attack

Defense

Season

AVG

Attack

Defense

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

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Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

1st Half

2nd Half

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Full-Time1st Half2nd Half

Premier League

All matches

Home only

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

17%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

36%

17%

49%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

57%

33%

30%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

55%

27%

45%

34%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

53%

28%

43%

28%

Home only

Away only

Form & Performance

Total Goals

Full-Time1st Half2nd Half

average per match

Premier League

Poor

Attack

Good

Defense

Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.5

2.33

Difference

-0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83

0.83

1.67

Scored

Conceded

1.33

2.17

Difference

-0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12

1.38

1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.25

Difference

-0.75

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.05

1.15

1.2

Scored

Conceded

1.15

2.05

Difference

-0.9

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.04

1.14

1.18

Scored

Conceded

1.14

Difference

-0.86

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Total Goals

Home vs Away Strength

Home

Away

Last 20

AVG

Attack

Defense

Season

AVG

Attack

Defense

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Total Goals

Full-Time1st Half2nd Half

average per match

Premier League

Poor

Attack

Good

Defense

Poor

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

1.33

Scored

Conceded

1.5

2.33

Difference

-0.83

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

-0.83

0.83

1.67

Scored

Conceded

1.33

2.17

Difference

-0.83

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.12

1.38

1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.25

Difference

-0.75

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

-0.05

1.15

1.2

Scored

Conceded

1.15

2.05

Difference

-0.9

Season

Full season averages

Difference

-0.04

1.14

1.18

Scored

Conceded

1.14

Difference

-0.86

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Total Goals

Form & Performance

Full-Time1st Half2nd Half

Premier League

All matches

Home only

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

33%

55%

17%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

52%

36%

17%

49%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

57%

33%

30%

40%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

55%

27%

45%

34%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

53%

28%

43%

28%

Home only

Away only

Form & Performance

Home vs Away Strength

Home

Away

Last 20

AVG

Attack

Defense

Season

AVG

Attack

Defense

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Full-Time1st Half2nd Half

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

Wins

Draws: 1

(0%)

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

Scored

Conceded

Everton

Burnley

All Matches

18 Matches

(56%)

Wins

Draws: 2

(33%)

(56%)

(11%)

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.67

0.89

Scored

Conceded

0.89

1.67

Everton

Burnley

England | Premier League

27 Dec 25

Burnley

Everton

2mo ago

England | Premier League

06 Apr 24

Everton

Burnley

2y ago

England | Premier League

16 Dec 23

Burnley

Everton

2y ago

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

Head to Head

Full-Time1st Half2nd Half

Last 365 days

1 Match

(0%)

Wins

Draws: 1

(0%)

(100%)

Avg Goals per Match

Scored

Conceded

Everton

Burnley

All Matches

18 Matches

(56%)

Wins

Draws: 2

(33%)

(56%)

(11%)

(33%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.67

0.89

Scored

Conceded

0.89

1.67

Everton

Burnley

England | Premier League

27 Dec 25

Burnley

Everton

2mo ago

England | Premier League

06 Apr 24

Everton

Burnley

2y ago

England | Premier League

16 Dec 23

Burnley

Everton

2y ago

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

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Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Everton

Date

Teams

Odds

LTQ

Result

England | Premier League

03/03

19:30

Everton

Burnley

1.66

3.72

5.35

51%

43%

England | Premier League

28/02

15:00

Newcastle

Everton

1.76

3.84

4.45

52%

51%

England | Premier League

23/02

20:00

Everton

Manchester United

3.84

3.76

1.91

54%

66%

England | Premier League

10/02

19:30

Everton

Bournemouth

2.47

3.32

2.91

56%

England | Premier League

07/02

15:00

Fulham

Everton

2.19

3.35

3.4

59%

50%

England | Premier League

31/01

15:00

Brighton

Everton

1.86

3.59

4.28

54%

50%

England | Premier League

26/01

20:00

Everton

Leeds

2.54

3.14

2.96

52%

60%

Wins

Draws

Losses

Easy

Average

Hard

Burnley

Date

Teams

Odds

LTQ

Result

England | Premier League

03/03

19:30

Everton

Burnley

1.66

3.72

5.35

51%

43%

England | Premier League

28/02

15:00

Burnley

Brentford

4.36

3.75

1.8

43%

60%

England | Premier League

21/02

15:00

Chelsea

Burnley

1.22

6.67

12.51

69%

39%

England | FA Cup

14/02

15:00

Burnley

Mansfield Town

1.35

4.79

8.3

43%

64%

England | Premier League

11/02

19:30

Crystal Palace

Burnley

1.51

4.27

6.45

43%

39%

England | Premier League

07/02

15:00

Burnley

West Ham

3.13

3.48

2.25

40%

England | Premier League

02/02

20:00

Sunderland

Burnley

1.82

3.46

4.77

53%

41%

Wins

Draws

Losses

Easy

Average

Hard

Lineups

Everton

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 2.44 per match

Pos

Name

Rating

Forwards

Beto

8.2

Midfielders

James Garner

6.7

Idrissa Gueye

6.3

Dwight McNeil

6.6

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

7.2

Iliman Ndiaye

7.2

Defenders

Jake O'Brien

6.7

James Tarkowski

6.6

Jarrad Branthwaite

7.6

Vitaliy Mykolenko

6.9

Goalkeepers

Jordan Pickford

5.6

Injuries/Absence

Key Players

J. Grealish

Foot Injury

Others

C. Alcaraz

Injury

Burnley

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 4.67 per match

High Team Rotation!

Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

Forwards

Jacob Bruun Larsen

6.5

Jaidon Anthony

7.9

Zian Flemming

7.7

Midfielders

Josh Laurent

6.3

James Ward-Prowse

6.3

Hannibal Mejbri

7.3

Lucas Pires

7.5

Defenders

Bashir Humphreys

6.5

Joe Worrall

5.7

Maxime Estève

6.3

Goalkeepers

Martin Dúbravka

Injuries/Absence

Key Players

A. Tuanzebe

Achilles Tendon Injury

Others

Z. Amdouni

Knee Injury

J. Beyer

Thigh Injury

A. Broja

Injury

J. Cullen

Knee Injury

C. Roberts

Groin Injury

M. Tresor Ndayishimiye

Ankle Injury

Player Rotation Legend

Low

Medium

High

Unknown

Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

49%

Overall Form

50%

Wins

Draws

Losses

Rankings

Current Season

Premier League

Played

1.37

Points per Match

0.7

Quality

51%

Team Quality

43%

56%

Avg Opponent Quality

56%

Goals Performance

46%

Goals Performance

42%

1.3

Scored Goals

1.8

1.4

Conceded Goals

-0.1

Goals Difference

(Scored - Conceded)

-0.2

2.7

Total Goals

(Scored + Conceded)

3.8

Average Goals per Match

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.31

Expected Goals

Missing Data (1 | 1)

0.96

Total Shots

11.6

3.9

Shots on Goal

3.2

Shots Inside Box

8.3

Shots Outside Box

3.3

46%

Possession

45%

80%

Passes %

79%

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

Winning Odds of Teams

See the winning percentage for each odds range in past matches.

Home

Draw

Away

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Historical Math Probability

Shows historical probability for each outcome.

Bet

Odds

History

Home

Draw

Away

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Bookmaker Winning Odds Accuracy

Shows how often the bookmaker's winning odds were correct in past matches.

1X2

Performance

Expected

Surprises

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Everton vs Burnley - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

Odds & Probability

MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Total Goals

Home vs Away Strength

Total Goals

Form & Performance

Home vs Away Strength

HEAD TO HEAD

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

Odds & Probability

MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

Form & Performance

Total Goals

Total Goals

Home vs Away Strength

Total Goals

Total Goals

Form & Performance

Form & Performance

Home vs Away Strength

HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

Head to Head

Head To Head

Fatigue Calendar

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Last Matches (1X2)

Lineups

Overall Form

Goals Performance

Statistics

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

Winning Odds of Teams

Historical Math Probability

Bookmaker Winning Odds Accuracy

Form & Performance

Total Goals

Total Goals

Form & Performance

Head to Head

Head to Head

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Last Matches (1X2)

Lineups

Overall Form

Goals Performance

Statistics

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

Winning Odds of Teams

Historical Math Probability

Bookmaker Winning Odds Accuracy