WLLLW
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
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📍 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Stats below use each team's main league —
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Spain·Primera División RFEF - Group 2Spain
Stats below use each team's main league —Primera División RFEF - Group 1Spain·Primera División RFEF - Group 2Spain
Cross-referencing our proprietary match analytics — form, H2H, key metrics, streaks, and tactical reads — with 16+ prediction portals, live odds, and team news to deliver a single-pane-of-glass briefing built for serious football analysts.
The model predicts a tight 1-1 draw and assigns near-equal win probabilities, reflecting the even nature of the sides in key statistics. However, Sabadell must overcome the absence of A. Coscia (undisclosed injury), a significant attacking option, which could blunt their edge. Zamora's stronger recent home form, with 6 wins in their last 10 at venue, coupled with the fact they have played recently and rested for 6 days versus Sabadell's 8 days, may give them a slight edge in freshness. The tactical approach will likely be cautious given the stakes.
Under 2.5 goals is a strong consideration given both teams concede less than a goal per game on average in recent form and the competitive nature of a play-off. The league average for Over 2.5 goals is also low at 46%.
Zamora's recent home form in the last 10 matches at venue (6W, 2D, 2L) offers a more solid platform than Sabadell's away record (3W, 3D, 4L), suggesting a slight home advantage in this neutral venue tie.
Both teams are virtually identical in scoring output on a recent-form basis, indicating a balanced offensive threat in this matchup.
Zamora has won 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Zamora has won 6 of their last 10 matches at home in all comps.
Sabadell has lost 4 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Sabadell has lost 4 of their last 10 away matches in all comps.
This fixture presents a fascinating tactical battle, particularly as both sides have demonstrated capable attacking and defensive metrics over their last 10 games. Zamora, playing at Estadio Ruta de la Plata in the last 10, boasts a strong home record of 6 wins in 10, scoring 16 goals, including a recent 2-0 win over Villarreal II. They average 2.0 points per game at home in this scope. Sabadell, on the other hand, has found away success harder to come by, securing only 3 wins in their last 10 away matches across all comps, though they did claim a 3-1 away victory against Lugo in their second most recent outing. Defensively, both teams are remarkably similar in recent form, conceding around 0.98 goals per game on a weighted basis. With no historical head-to-head data to draw from, the contest is wide open.
Zamora will rely on the offensive contributions of C. Ramos, who recently scored crucial goals, including a penalty in injury time, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. Their attacking play also features Kike, who has previously scored from open play. Defensively, the team will need strong performances from players like Luismi Luengo and Miki Codina to contain Sabadell.
Zamora will rely on the offensive contributions of C. Ramos, who recently scored crucial goals, including a penalty in injury time, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. Their attacking play also features Kike, who has previously scored from open play. Defensively, the team will need strong performances from players like Luismi Luengo and Miki Codina to contain Sabadell.
Sabadell's midfield will look to E. Aguilar Elizalde for creativity and control. In defense, the experience of Genar Fornés and Kaiser Lázaro will be vital in maintaining a strong backline against Zamora's attacks. Upfront, J. López and A. Coscia are expected to lead the line, with Coscia being a significant attacking option.
This promotion play-off tie between Zamora and Sabadell pits two sides that have shown strength in different phases of their recent form. With no prior meetings, this clash is a true test of who can seize the moment on a neutral ground to push towards promotion.
This report updates automatically as new information becomes available. Probabilities and analytics may shift based on team news, injuries, lineups and other pre-match developments.
Zamora averages 2.0 points per game in their last 10 home matches in all comps, significantly higher than Sabadell's 1.2 PPG away from home in the same scope, indicating a stronger points-gathering tendency at venue.
Zamora has won 60% of their last 10 home matches across all comps, whereas Sabadell has secured victory in just 30% of their away matches in the same scope, highlighting a clear advantage for the home side.
Both teams have a 50/50 chance of seeing both teams score in their last 10 home games respectively, suggesting a relatively even likelihood of both offenses finding the net.
Zamora has a lower loss rate (20%) in their last 10 home matches across all competitions compared to Sabadell's 40% away record, suggesting greater resilience.