Serie B·
Semi-finals·05/17/2026·14:00
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
WLLWD
3-0
Finished
HT3-0
Palermo
Palermo
LWDWD
📍 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Season statsSerie B
Catanzaro39matchesPalermo38matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
52%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

57%
1483
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1559
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

62%
49%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

53%
4.01
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.43

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3938
1.59
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.89
41%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

53%
36%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

32%
23%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

16%
26%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%
15%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

21%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3938
1.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.61
85%
Scored > 0.582%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

79%
82%
Over 1.578%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
56%
Over 2.551%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
41%
Over 3.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

21%
67%
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
23%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

16%
36%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

34%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3938
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.87
12.72
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.84
3.69
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.84
2.38
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.00
65%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

78%
26%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3938
1.51
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.57
1.40
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.19
0.11
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.38
0.46
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.01
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3938
13.08
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.24
4.62
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.50
8.44
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.21
65%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

72%
35%
On-Target %33%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
13%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3938
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
429.69
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

364.29
0.09
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.04

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3938
38%15/39
Leading at HT43%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

47%18/38
36%14/39
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

29%11/38
26%10/39
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%9/38
46%18/39
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%24/38
60%9/15
Led at HT → Won72%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

83%15/18
70%7/10
Trailed at HT → Recovered63%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

56%5/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 39/3938/383938
12%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
14%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
15%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
22%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
14%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
23%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 39/3938/383938
64%23/36
Scored First62%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

60%21/35
36%13/36
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

40%14/35
52%12/23
Win when Scoring First69%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

86%18/21
31%4/13
Win when Conceding First23%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%2/14
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 39/3938/383938
31%12/39
Scored after 75'34%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

37%14/38
28%11/39
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

18%7/38
76%13/17
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

89%16/18
24%4/17
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

11%2/18
0%0/39
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/38

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 39/3938/383938
91%59/65
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%51/60
6%4/65
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

12%7/60
3%2/65
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%2/60
15%8/52
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%2/34
4%2/52
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%3/34

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3938
4.21
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.13
4.62
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.53
48%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
0.12
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.63
46%18/39
Match Corners > 8.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

63%24/38
44%17/39
Match Corners > 9.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

53%20/38
31%12/39
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

39%15/38

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 39/3938/383938
2.10
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.13
13%5/39
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%5/38
12.41
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.92
77%27/35
Match Cards > 3.579%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

82%27/33
35/3933/38
57%20/35
Match Cards > 4.557%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

58%19/33
35/3933/38
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCatanzaro at home · Palermo on the road
2019
1.90
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.37
50%10/20
Win Rate41%

Share of sampled matches won.

32%6/19
10%2/20
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

26%5/19
1.85
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.21
1.15
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.11
35%7/20
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

26%5/19
60%12/20
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%10/19
50%10/20
Over 2.543%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

37%7/19
1.66
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.42
1.26
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.25