Primera A·
Apertura - Quarter-finals·05/10/2026·19:10
Once Caldas
Once Caldas
WDWDD
0-1
Finished
HT0-1
Junior
Junior
LWLDW
📍 Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Season statsPrimera A
Caldas19matchesJunior19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera A.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
65%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

48%
1615
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1551
63%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

55%
66%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

40%
2.40
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.40

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1919
1.74
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.84
42%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

58%
47%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

11%
11%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

32%
21%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%
5%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

16%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1919
1.63
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.63
95%
Scored > 0.589%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

84%
89%
Over 1.592%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

95%
47%
Over 2.553%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

58%
21%
Over 3.518%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

16%
79%
BTTS66%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%
26%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

26%
32%
Scored Both Halves34%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

37%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1919
1.16
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.26
13.95
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.44
18/19
4.47
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.28
18/19
3.42
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.06
18/19
76%
Save %74%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

71%
18/19
21%
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1919
1.10
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.16
1.19
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.26
-0.09
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.10
0.38
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.53
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1919
13.37
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.17
18/19
5.26
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.50
18/19
6.84
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.00
18/19
51%
Box Shot %54%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

58%
18/19
39%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
18/19
12%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%
18/19

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1919
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

54%
18/19
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
18/19
402.32
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

382.89
18/19
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1919
32%6/19
Leading at HT39%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

47%9/19
58%11/19
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

21%4/19
11%2/19
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

32%6/19
74%14/19
HT/FT Same Outcome74%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

74%14/19
83%5/6
Led at HT → Won86%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

89%8/9
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered33%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 19/1919/191919
17%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
7%
16-30'8%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
23%
31-45'26%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

29%
10%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
17%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

10%
27%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 19/1919/191919
67%12/18
Scored First65%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%12/19
33%6/18
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

37%7/19
58%7/12
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

83%10/12
17%1/6
Win when Conceding First15%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%1/7
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
51'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

19'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 19/1919/191919
42%8/19
Scored after 75'45%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

47%9/19
37%7/19
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

16%3/19
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%8/8
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/8
0%0/19
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 19/1919/191919
87%26/30
Open-Play Share85%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

84%26/31
13%4/30
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

16%5/31
0%0/30
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/31
17%4/23
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%2/24
4%1/23
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/24

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1919
5.16
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.06
18/19
4.84
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.28
18/19
52%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

49%
18/19
-0.38
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.17
58%11/19
Match Corners > 8.557%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

56%10/18
18/19
47%9/19
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%10/18
18/19
42%8/19
Match Corners > 10.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

44%8/18
18/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 19/1919/191919
3.05
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.53
5%1/19
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%2/19
9.79
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.05
89%17/19
Match Cards > 3.589%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%16/18
18/19
84%16/19
Match Cards > 4.581%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

78%14/18
18/19
73%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCaldas at home · Junior on the road
109
2.10
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.78
60%6/10
Win Rate58%

Share of sampled matches won.

56%5/9
10%1/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%3/9
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.56
1.30
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.11
20%2/10
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%3/9
80%8/10
BTTS68%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%5/9
60%6/10
Over 2.558%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%5/9
1.33
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.14
1.24
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.24