First League·
Championship Group - 32·05/03/2026·12:00
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
DLWDW
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
DLLLD
📍 Vasil Levski National Stadium, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia31matchesLudogorets31matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
61%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

49%
1660
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1722
65%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

63%
56%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

35%
2.19
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.97

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3131
1.81
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.94
52%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

55%
26%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

29%
23%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

16%
39%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

55%
26%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

19%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3131
1.42
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.87
74%
Scored > 0.577%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

81%
68%
Over 1.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
35%
Over 2.544%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

52%
23%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

19%
42%
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
19%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

16%
35%
Scored Both Halves40%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

45%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3131
0.84
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.71
7.13
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

5.56
8/319/31
2.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.33
8/319/31
1.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.56
8/319/31
75%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
8/319/31
39%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

55%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3131
1.55
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.18
1.15
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.72
0.40
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.46
-0.08
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.34
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3131
16.25
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.56
8/319/31
4.75
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.56
8/319/31
8.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.22
8/319/31
52%
Box Shot %57%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
8/319/31
29%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
8/319/31
10%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%
8/319/31

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3131
59%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

65%
8/319/31
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
8/319/31
431.88
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

594.22
8/319/31
0.20
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.32

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3131
39%12/31
Leading at HT37%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

35%11/31
42%13/31
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

39%12/31
19%6/31
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

26%8/31
61%19/31
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

68%21/31
83%10/12
Led at HT → Won92%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%11/11
33%2/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered42%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%4/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 31/3131/313131
14%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

4%
5%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
23%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
14%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
12%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
33%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 31/3131/313131
62%18/29
Scored First56%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%13/26
38%11/29
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%13/26
78%14/18
Win when Scoring First89%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%13/13
18%2/11
Win when Conceding First24%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

31%4/13
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 31/3131/313131
39%12/31
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

42%13/31
29%9/31
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

19%6/31
86%12/14
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%13/13
14%2/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/13
0%0/31
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

3%1/31

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 31/3131/313131
88%38/43
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%49/57
12%5/43
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

12%7/57
0%0/43
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/57
7%2/27
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/23
4%1/27
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%2/23

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3131
6.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

8.56
8/319/31
2.88
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

1.44
8/319/31
68%
Corner Share77%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

86%
8/319/31
2.77
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

7.33
63%5/8
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%6/9
8/319/31
63%5/8
Match Corners > 9.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%5/9
8/319/31
50%4/8
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%3/9
8/319/31

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 31/3131/313131
1.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.60
8/3110/31
0%0/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%1/10
8/3110/31
11.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.20
8/3110/31
79%22/28
Match Cards > 3.581%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

83%20/24
28/3124/31
57%16/28
Match Cards > 4.560%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

63%15/24
28/3124/31
68%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

61%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Ludogorets on the road
1615
2.12
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.87
63%10/16
Win Rate58%

Share of sampled matches won.

53%8/15
13%2/16
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%3/15
1.69
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.93
0.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.73
38%6/16
Clean Sheet49%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%9/15
56%9/16
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%5/15
44%7/16
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

47%7/15
1.71
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.24
0.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.69