Primera División - Apertura·
Regular Season - 13·04/27/2026·18:30
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
DWLDD
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Progreso
Progreso
WLLDD
📍 Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Season statsPrimera División - Apertura
Sporting12matchesProgreso12matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera División - Apertura.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
56%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

41%
1429
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1299
48%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

44%
65%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

38%
1.53
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.25

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1212
1.42
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.83
33%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

17%
42%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

33%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
33%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

8%
42%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

50%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1212
0.83
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.92
58%
Scored > 0.554%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

50%
50%
Over 1.558%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

67%
17%
Over 2.529%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

42%
0%
Over 3.513%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

25%
42%
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
17%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

8%
25%
Scored Both Halves29%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

33%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1212
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.58
33%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

8%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1212
1.19
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.15
0.94
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.83
0.25
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.69
-0.17
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.21

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1212
8%1/12
Leading at HT13%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

17%2/12
75%9/12
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%4/12
17%2/12
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

50%6/12
50%6/12
HT/FT Same Outcome58%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

67%8/12
100%1/1
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered33%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

17%1/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 12/1212/121212
20%
0-15'24%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

27%
0%
16-30'5%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

9%
30%
31-45'24%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
10%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

9%
20%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

9%
20%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 12/1212/121212
50%5/10
Scored First42%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%4/12
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%8/12
60%3/5
Win when Scoring First55%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%2/4
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First10%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/8
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
46'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

27'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 12/1212/121212
17%2/12
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%4/12
17%2/12
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

17%2/12
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%1/2
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%1/2
0%0/12
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/12

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 12/1212/121212
100%10/10
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

73%8/11
0%0/10
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%2/11
0%0/10
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

9%1/11
0%0/8
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

16%3/19
0%0/8
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%1/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 12/1212/121212
92%11/12
Match Cards > 3.591%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

91%10/11
11/12
67%8/12
Match Cards > 4.574%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

82%9/11
11/12
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSporting at home · Progreso on the road
55
2.20
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
60%3/5
Win Rate40%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.80
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
60%3/5
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
40%2/5
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%2/5
20%1/5
Over 2.520%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%1/5
1.97
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.89
0.92
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.87