Premiership·
Relegation Group - 38·05/17/2026·09:00
Dundee
Dundee
LWWLD
3-2
Finished
HT1-2
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
LWDWW
📍 Dens Park, Dundee
Season statsPremiership
Dundee37matchesAberdeen37matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premiership.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
52%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

50%
1476
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1455
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

43%
54%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

56%
3.05
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.39

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3737
1.05
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.08
27%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
24%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

19%
49%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

51%
19%
Clean Sheet23%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%
41%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

43%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3737
1.05
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.03
59%
Scored > 0.558%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

57%
70%
Over 1.572%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

73%
57%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

32%
32%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

22%
46%
BTTS41%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

35%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

8%
19%
Scored Both Halves19%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

19%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3737
1.59
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.41
15.49
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.43
5.46
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.65
3.81
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.19
70%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

69%
19%
Clean Sheet23%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3737
1.16
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.06
1.84
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.42
-0.68
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.37
0.09
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.05
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3737
10.03
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.35
3.22
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.46
5.92
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.54
59%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
32%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

30%
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3737
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
75%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
351.81
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

394.41
-0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3737
30%11/37
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

24%9/37
30%11/37
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

32%12/37
41%15/37
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

43%16/37
73%27/37
HT/FT Same Outcome73%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

73%27/37
82%9/11
Led at HT → Won85%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

89%8/9
20%3/15
Trailed at HT → Recovered16%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

13%2/16

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 37/3737/373737
16%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
11%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

23%
22%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
16%
46-60'11%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

5%
14%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

23%
22%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 37/3737/373737
31%11/35
Scored First37%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

43%15/35
69%24/35
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

57%20/35
64%7/11
Win when Scoring First65%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%10/15
13%3/24
Win when Conceding First9%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

5%1/20
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

38'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 37/3737/373737
22%8/37
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

27%10/37
43%16/37
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

32%12/37
64%7/11
Lead Saved after 75'72%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%8/10
36%4/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%2/10
0%0/37
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/37

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 37/3737/373737
84%31/37
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%33/39
11%4/37
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%4/39
5%2/37
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%2/39
10%6/61
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%3/51
7%4/61
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/51

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3737
3.81
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.76
5.70
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.24
40%
Corner Share44%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
-0.78
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.22
62%23/37
Match Corners > 8.569%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

76%28/37
62%23/37
Match Corners > 9.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

59%22/37
46%17/37
Match Corners > 10.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

46%17/37

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 37/3737/373737
1.43
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.38
8%3/37
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

14%5/37
9.22
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.43
67%20/30
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

87%27/31
30/3731/37
40%12/30
Match Cards > 4.552%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

65%20/31
30/3731/37
73%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDundee at home · Aberdeen on the road
1818
1.56
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.78
44%8/18
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

22%4/18
33%6/18
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

67%12/18
1.56
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.56
1.44
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.61
22%4/18
Clean Sheet22%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

22%4/18
61%11/18
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

22%4/18
67%12/18
Over 2.547%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

28%5/18
1.34
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.88
1.73
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.72