First League·
Regular Season - 26·03/28/2026·11:00
Fakel
Fakel
LDWWL
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
KAMAZ
KAMAZ
WDLDW
📍 Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Season statsFirst League
Fakel24matchesKAMAZ25matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
53%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

60%
1374
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1391
57%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
49%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

54%
1.30
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.39

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2425
2.17
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.48
67%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

36%
17%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
17%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

24%
63%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2425
1.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.64
75%
Scored > 0.578%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
46%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

84%
21%
Over 2.534%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

48%
13%
Over 3.520%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

28%
21%
BTTS44%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

68%
13%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

24%
25%
Scored Both Halves31%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

36%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2425
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.12
63%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2425
1.57
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.84
0.55
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.34
1.02
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.50
-0.26
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.32

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2425
42%10/24
Leading at HT39%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

36%9/25
50%12/24
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%10/25
8%2/24
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%6/25
67%16/24
HT/FT Same Outcome73%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

80%20/25
100%10/10
Led at HT → Won94%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

89%8/9
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%2/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 24/2425/252425
10%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
7%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
30%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
20%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

12%
17%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
17%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 24/2425/252425
77%17/22
Scored First67%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

57%13/23
23%5/22
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

43%10/23
94%16/17
Win when Scoring First78%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

62%8/13
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First5%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

10%1/10
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
41'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 24/2425/252425
21%5/24
Scored after 75'34%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

48%12/25
13%3/24
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

16%4/25
100%15/15
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%9/12
0%0/15
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%3/12
4%1/24
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

4%1/25

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 24/2425/252425
90%27/30
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%36/42
10%3/30
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

12%5/42
0%0/30
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/42
0%0/11
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%1/27
0%0/11
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/27

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 24/2425/252425
1.90
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.52
20/2421/25
10%2/20
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%2/21
20/2421/25
0.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

0.00
20/2421/25
64%14/22
Match Cards > 3.568%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

72%18/25
22/24
32%7/22
Match Cards > 4.540%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

48%12/25
22/24
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFakel at home · KAMAZ on the road
1212
2.67
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.42
83%10/12
Win Rate58%

Share of sampled matches won.

33%4/12
0%0/12
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%3/12
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
0.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.08
83%10/12
Clean Sheet54%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%3/12
17%2/12
BTTS33%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%6/12
25%3/12
Over 2.529%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%4/12
1.83
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.31
0.33
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.32