Serie B·
Regular Season - 12·06/10/2026·11:00 PM
Ceara
Ceara
LLWWL
2-1
Finished
HT2-0
Avai
Avai
LWLWL
📍 Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza
Season statsSerie B
Ceara11matchesAvai11matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
38%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

44%
1569
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1473
41%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

47%
35%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

41%
2.70
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.91

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1111
1.18
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.91
27%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

18%
36%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

36%
36%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

45%
27%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%
27%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

36%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1111
1.09
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
73%
Scored > 0.568%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

64%
73%
Over 1.573%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

73%
36%
Over 2.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
9%
Over 3.514%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

18%
55%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

45%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
0%
Scored Both Halves14%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

27%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1111
1.18
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.36
12.27
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.82
4.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.82
2.73
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4.10
10/11
68%
Save %73%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

77%
27%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1111
1.24
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.90
1.26
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.41
-0.02
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.50
-0.17
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.18
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1111
13.55
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.45
4.73
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.36
8.27
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.18
61%
Box Shot %58%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

54%
35%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

29%
8%
Shot Conversion8%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1111
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

78%
357.91
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

356.09
0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.00

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1111
27%3/11
Leading at HT23%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

18%2/11
55%6/11
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

55%6/11
18%2/11
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

27%3/11
27%3/11
HT/FT Same Outcome45%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%7/11
0%0/3
Led at HT → Won25%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 11/1111/111111
17%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
0%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

18%
33%
31-45'26%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
17%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

9%
17%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
17%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

36%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 11/1111/111111
40%4/10
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
60%6/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
50%2/4
Win when Scoring First45%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

40%2/5
17%1/6
Win when Conceding First8%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
41'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

40'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

41'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 11/1111/111111
18%2/11
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

36%4/11
9%1/11
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

27%3/11
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
0%0/11
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/11

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 11/1111/111111
92%11/12
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%10/11
8%1/12
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%1/11
0%0/12
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/11
31%4/13
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

27%4/15
0%0/13
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1111
5.36
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.10
10/11
4.45
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.00
10/11
55%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

45%
10/11
1.08
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.52
55%6/11
Match Corners > 8.557%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%6/10
10/11
45%5/11
Match Corners > 9.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%4/10
10/11
27%3/11
Match Corners > 10.529%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

30%3/10
10/11

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 11/1111/111111
2.91
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

3.27
27%3/11
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

18%2/11
14.64
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.18
100%9/9
Match Cards > 3.5100%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%10/10
9/1110/11
89%8/9
Match Cards > 4.589%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

90%9/10
9/1110/11
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

57%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCeara at home · Avai on the road
56
1.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.67
40%2/5
Win Rate28%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%1/6
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

67%4/6
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.83
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.67
20%1/5
Clean Sheet18%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%1/6
60%3/5
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%3/6
40%2/5
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%3/6
1.51
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.97
1.12
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.88