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Match Intelligence
Balanced
Jun 9, 2026, 06:03 PM
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This clash pits Tukums against BFC Daugavpils, with the visitors holding a slight edge in the standings but facing a Tukums side desperate to capitalize on home comforts. Both teams have shown inconsistency in their recent runs, making for a potentially unpredictable encounter.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.66
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.19
Tukums show a more potent attack on a recent-form basis, averaging 1.66 goals compared to BFC Daugavpils's 1.19, potentially giving them the edge in finding the net.
1.89
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.49
BFC Daugavpils appear more solid defensively in recent form, conceding 1.49 goals per game versus Tukums's 1.89, which could be crucial in a tight contest.
1.0
PPG (3/1/0)
League (last 10)
0.9
In their last 10 league matches, Tukums have averaged slightly more points per game (1.0) than BFC Daugavpils (0.9), indicating a marginal edge in consistent performance.
20%
Win rate %
League venue (last 10)
10%
Tukums have a higher win rate (20%) in their last 10 away league games compared to BFC Daugavpils (10%), suggesting Tukums are more likely to secure a victory in this specific venue scenario.
2.25
Goals scored per game
Season avg
1.43
This season at home, Tukums are significantly outscoring BFC Daugavpils away from home, with 2.25 goals per game versus 1.43, highlighting Tukums's offensive strength at their venue.
1.50
Goals conceded per game
Season avg
2.14
Tukums concede fewer goals at home this season (1.2 per game) than BFC Daugavpils do away (1.5 per game), indicating a stronger defensive unit in their respective home/away scenarios.
Form & Streaks
Tukums have won 2 and drawn 2 of their last 5 home matches in the Virsliga, showing resilience at home.
BFC Daugavpils are winless in their last 6 away matches in all competitions.
Both Tukums and BFC Daugavpils have won only 20% of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
BFC Daugavpils have managed 4 draws in their last 10 away league matches.
Tactical Overview
Tukums are looking to leverage their home advantage against BFC Daugavpils, despite sitting below them in the league standings. Tukums have registered two home wins in their last five at home, including a dominant 6-1 thrashing of Ogre United, but they also dropped points in a 1-1 draw against BFC Daugavpils earlier this month in league play. BFC Daugavpils, meanwhile, have struggled on the road, managing only one win in their last ten away fixtures across all competitions, a stark contrast to their slightly better home record where they've lost four of their last six. In terms of recent form across all competitions, both sides have secured only two wins in their last ten, and Tukums appear to be creating more scoring opportunities, averaging 1.66 goals per game in recent form compared to BFC Daugavpils's 1.19. However, BFC Daugavpils have a better defensive record on a recent-form basis, conceding 1.49 goals per game versus Tukums's 1.89.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
No verifiable information regarding Tukums's key players for this match was found within the freshness cutoff. The search results did not provide specific details on current player form or roles relevant to this fixture.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
No verifiable information regarding Tukums's key players for this match was found within the freshness cutoff. The search results did not provide specific details on current player form or roles relevant to this fixture.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
No verifiable information regarding BFC Daugavpils's key players for this match was found within the freshness cutoff. The search results did not provide specific details on current player form or roles relevant to this fixture.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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