FA Cup·
Round of 32·02/13/2026·14:45
Wrexham
Wrexham
LWWDL
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Ipswich
Ipswich
WDLWW
📍 Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Stats below use each team's main league —ChampionshipEngland

Last 10FA Cup
Wrexham10matchesIpswich10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
60%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

63%
1523
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1591
65%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

72%
55%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

54%
3.12
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.79

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.30
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

70%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
20%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
90%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
90%
Over 1.590%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
60%
Over 2.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
30%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
70%
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

40%
40%
Scored Both Halves45%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
11.80
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.10
4.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.20
2.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.30
63%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

72%
20%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.06
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.31
0.90
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.72
0.16
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.59
0.49
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.36
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.90
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

17.20
4.90
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.80
8.90
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

12.50
64%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

73%
35%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
14%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

59%
78%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
454.30
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

456.20
-0.00
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.13

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%3/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
30%3/10
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

90%9/10
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%6/6
100%2/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
5%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
15%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
20%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
25%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
10%
61-75'8%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
25%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

38%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
70%7/10
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
30%3/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
57%4/7
Win when Scoring First79%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%5/5
67%2/3
Win when Conceding First58%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%2/4
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
7'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
30%3/10
Scored after 75'45%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

60%6/10
50%5/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%1/10
57%4/7
Lead Saved after 75'79%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%5/5
43%3/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/5
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
90%18/20
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%14/16
5%1/20
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%2/16
5%1/20
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/16
0%0/15
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

20%2/10
7%1/15
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

20%2/10

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.40
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

7.50
4.70
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.40
53%
Corner Share61%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

69%
-0.25
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.41
70%7/10
Match Corners > 8.575%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

80%8/10
60%6/10
Match Corners > 9.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

60%6/10
50%5/10
Match Corners > 10.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%5/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.80
0%0/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/10
9.10
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.40
57%4/7
Match Cards > 3.556%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

56%5/9
7/109/10
43%3/7
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%5/9
7/109/10
81%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

76%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeWrexham at home · Ipswich on the road
64
1.33
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
33%2/6
Win Rate42%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%2/4
33%2/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
0%0/6
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%2/4
83%5/6
BTTS67%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
67%4/6
Over 2.558%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.32
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.01
0.91
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.86