First League·
Regular Season - 29·04/12/2026·02:00 PM
Dečić
Dečić
LDWLW
4-2
Finished
HT2-1
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
LLWLL
📍 Tusko, Tuzi
Season statsFirst League
Dečić28matchesJedinstvo28matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
53%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

36%
1441
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1315
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

37%
48%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

35%
1.63
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.26

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2828
1.54
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.86
43%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

21%
25%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

21%
32%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

57%
29%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%
29%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

54%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2828
1.21
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.71
71%
Scored > 0.559%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

46%
64%
Over 1.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

54%
46%
Over 2.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

32%
25%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

18%
54%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

36%
25%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
25%
Scored Both Halves14%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

4%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2828
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.36
29%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2828
1.26
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.94
1.30
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.71
-0.04
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.77
-0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.14

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2828
32%9/28
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

18%5/28
46%13/28
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%14/28
21%6/28
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

32%9/28
61%17/28
HT/FT Same Outcome61%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

61%17/28
78%7/9
Led at HT → Won79%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
17%1/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered14%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

11%1/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 28/2828/282828
20%
0-15'18%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

16%
20%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
11%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
14%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
9%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

16%
26%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 28/2828/282828
52%13/25
Scored First43%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%8/24
48%12/25
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%16/24
85%11/13
Win when Scoring First74%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

63%5/8
8%1/12
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

6%1/16
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

43'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 28/2828/282828
32%9/28
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

18%5/28
29%8/28
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

39%11/28
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'92%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

83%5/6
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

17%1/6
4%1/28
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

4%1/28

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 28/2828/282828
86%30/35
Open-Play Share82%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

79%15/19
11%4/35
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

16%3/19
3%1/35
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/19
6%2/34
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%2/39
0%0/34
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%2/39

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 28/2828/282828
67%14/21
Match Cards > 3.563%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

59%13/22
21/2822/28
43%9/21
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

55%12/22
21/2822/28
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDečić at home · Jedinstvo on the road
1414
1.71
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.86
50%7/14
Win Rate36%

Share of sampled matches won.

21%3/14
29%4/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

57%8/14
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.21
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.79
36%5/14
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%2/14
50%7/14
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%7/14
50%7/14
Over 2.546%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%6/14
1.52
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.44
1.39
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.01