First League·
Regular Season - 27·04/04/2026·02:00 PM
Dečić
Dečić
WLWLD
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Bokelj
Bokelj
WLLLL
📍 Tusko, Tuzi
Season statsFirst League
Dečić26matchesBokelj26matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
59%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

42%
1441
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1378
59%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

46%
59%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

37%
1.75
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.12

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2626
1.62
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.92
46%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

19%
23%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

35%
31%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

46%
27%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

35%
27%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

31%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2626
1.27
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.12
73%
Scored > 0.571%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

69%
65%
Over 1.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

77%
46%
Over 2.546%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

46%
27%
Over 3.523%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

19%
54%
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
27%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
27%
Scored Both Halves19%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

12%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2626
1.27
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
27%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

35%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2626
1.41
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.22
1.31
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.59
0.10
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.37
-0.22
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.19

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2626
35%9/26
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

15%4/26
46%12/26
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

42%11/26
19%5/26
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

42%11/26
58%15/26
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

65%17/26
78%7/9
Led at HT → Won76%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
20%1/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered24%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

27%3/11

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 26/2626/262626
21%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
21%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
12%
31-45'8%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

3%
15%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
9%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

24%
24%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

31%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 26/2626/262626
54%13/24
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

41%9/22
46%11/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

59%13/22
85%11/13
Win when Scoring First65%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

44%4/9
9%1/11
Win when Conceding First8%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

8%1/13
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

39'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

22'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 26/2626/262626
31%8/26
Scored after 75'35%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

38%10/26
31%8/26
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

27%7/26
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%1/4
4%1/26
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/26

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 26/2626/262626
88%30/34
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%27/29
9%3/34
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/29
3%1/34
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/29
6%2/32
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

18%7/39
0%0/32
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

3%1/39

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 26/2626/262626
65%13/20
Match Cards > 3.563%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

60%12/20
20/2620/26
45%9/20
Match Cards > 4.545%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

45%9/20
20/2620/26
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDečić at home · Bokelj on the road
1313
1.77
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.85
54%7/13
Win Rate35%

Share of sampled matches won.

15%2/13
31%4/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

46%6/13
1.62
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.77
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.38
31%4/13
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%5/13
54%7/13
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%5/13
54%7/13
Over 2.546%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%5/13
1.71
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.83
1.57
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.44