Serie A·
Regular Season - 8·03/21/2026·17:30
Fluminense
Fluminense
LWWDD
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
WLWLD
📍 Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Last 10Serie A
Fluminense10matchesAtletico-MG10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
63%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

54%
1713
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1569
66%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

54%
59%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

54%
2.92
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.77

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.30
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
90%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
60%
Over 1.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

60%
40%
Over 2.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
30%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
50%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
40%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
8.10
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

15.20
5/10
2.90
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.40
5/10
2.10
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4.00
5/10
72%
Save %73%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
5/10
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.45
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.04
0.83
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.25
0.62
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.22
0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.25
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
14.20
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.60
5/10
5.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.00
5/10
9.10
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.60
5/10
64%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
5/10
35%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
5/10
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
5/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
60%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

46%
5/10
87%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

78%
5/10
445.90
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

355.40
5/10
0.11
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.00

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

60%6/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%2/3
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
13%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
7%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
33%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
13%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
13%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

27%
20%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
67%6/9
Scored First67%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

67%6/9
33%3/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

33%3/9
83%5/6
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%3/6
33%1/3
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
34'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

27'
16'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

44'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
30%3/10
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
30%3/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'73%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

60%3/5
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

40%2/5
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
87%13/15
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

87%13/15
13%2/15
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%2/15
0%0/15
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/15
11%1/9
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%1/12
0%0/9
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.90
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.00
5/10
3.10
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.00
5/10
61%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

45%
5/10
0.50
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.09
40%4/10
Match Corners > 8.560%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

80%4/5
5/10
30%3/10
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

60%3/5
5/10
10%1/10
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

60%3/5
5/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.70
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.40
5/10
20%2/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

20%1/5
5/10
15.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.00
5/10
100%8/8
Match Cards > 3.583%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%6/9
8/109/10
75%6/8
Match Cards > 4.560%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

44%4/9
8/109/10
60%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFluminense at home · Atletico-MG on the road
65
2.33
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.80
67%4/6
Win Rate43%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%3/5
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.60
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.40
50%3/6
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
50%3/6
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%2/5
33%2/6
Over 2.537%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
1.76
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.69
0.67
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.23