Liga MX·
Clausura - 1·01/10/2026·22:05
Monterrey
Monterrey
WWLWL
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Toluca
Toluca
WLWLD
📍 Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Monterrey
Season statsLiga MX
Monterrey21matchesToluca23matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Liga MX.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
65%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

52%
1612
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1725
60%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
69%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

47%
3.16
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.16

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2123
1.76
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.04
52%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

61%
19%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

22%
29%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

17%
29%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2123
1.86
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.17
90%
Scored > 0.582%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
81%
Over 1.577%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
62%
Over 2.561%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

61%
48%
Over 3.548%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

48%
62%
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%
24%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

43%
33%
Scored Both Halves47%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

61%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2123
1.62
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.04
11.95
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.17
4.43
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.13
2.67
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.27
22/23
60%
Save %65%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

69%
29%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2123
1.88
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.32
2.04
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.11
-0.16
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.21
-0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.48
0.16
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2123
12.90
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.09
5.10
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.35
8.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.48
62%
Box Shot %60%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

59%
39%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
14%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2123
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
482.90
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

443.87
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.10

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2123
57%12/21
Leading at HT52%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

48%11/23
19%4/21
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%7/23
24%5/21
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%5/23
81%17/21
HT/FT Same Outcome73%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

65%15/23
83%10/12
Led at HT → Won87%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

91%10/11
0%0/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered30%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

60%3/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 21/2123/232123
12%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
12%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

24%
37%
31-45'27%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
12%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
12%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
15%
76-90+'15%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

16%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 21/2123/232123
52%11/21
Scored First54%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

55%11/20
48%10/21
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

45%9/20
73%8/11
Win when Scoring First77%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

82%9/11
30%3/10
Win when Conceding First43%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

56%5/9
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

22'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 21/2123/232123
24%5/21
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

26%6/23
33%7/21
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

17%4/23
91%10/11
Lead Saved after 75'95%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%13/13
9%1/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/13
14%3/21
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

4%1/23

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 21/2123/232123
83%34/41
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%46/50
15%6/41
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%3/50
2%1/41
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/50
3%1/33
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

16%4/25
0%0/33
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/25

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2123
3.76
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.50
22/23
4.62
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.05
22/23
45%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

58%
22/23
-1.37
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.29
29%6/21
Match Corners > 8.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

64%14/22
22/23
29%6/21
Match Corners > 9.537%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

45%10/22
22/23
19%4/21
Match Corners > 10.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

32%7/22
22/23

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 21/2123/232123
1.95
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.96
19%4/21
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

13%3/23
11.76
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.61
89%16/18
Match Cards > 3.578%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%14/21
18/2121/23
67%12/18
Match Cards > 4.564%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

62%13/21
18/2121/23
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

57%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMonterrey at home · Toluca on the road
1011
2.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.82
70%7/10
Win Rate62%

Share of sampled matches won.

55%6/11
0%0/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

27%3/11
2.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.64
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.82
40%4/10
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%4/11
60%6/10
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

36%4/11
50%5/10
Over 2.548%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%5/11
1.97
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.87
1.29
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.02