Major League Soccer·
Regular Season - 8·04/18/2026·19:30
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
DLWLL
3-3
Finished
HT1-2
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
WWWWW
📍 TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Last 10Major League Soccer
Cincinnati10matchesFire10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
46%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

76%
1588
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1563
44%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
47%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

86%
5.04
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.22

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
60%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
20%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
70%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
80%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
70%
Over 2.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
60%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

0%
50%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
40%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.70
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
13.67
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.83
9/106/10
4.89
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.00
9/106/10
2.78
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.00
9/106/10
57%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
9/106/10
20%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.22
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.72
1.48
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.17
-0.26
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.56
0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.02
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
14.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.00
9/106/10
5.67
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.33
9/106/10
9.33
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.17
9/106/10
67%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

71%
9/106/10
40%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
9/106/10
17%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
9/106/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
49%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
9/106/10
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
9/106/10
414.33
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

448.50
9/106/10
-0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
40%4/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%5/5
25%1/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/109/101010
5%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

23%
18%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
9%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

31%
18%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
18%
61-75'13%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
32%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

23%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/109/101010
44%4/9
Scored First66%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

88%7/8
56%5/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

13%1/8
50%2/4
Win when Scoring First68%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

86%6/7
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First10%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/1
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

39'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/109/101010
44%4/9
Scored after 75'33%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

22%2/9
44%4/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

22%2/9
67%2/3
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%6/6
33%1/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/6
0%0/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/109/101010
91%20/22
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%11/13
0%0/22
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

15%2/13
9%2/22
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/13
5%1/20
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

14%1/7
5%1/20
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/7

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.22
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.17
9/106/10
4.11
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.83
9/106/10
56%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

42%
9/106/10
-0.19
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.40
44%4/9
Match Corners > 8.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%4/6
9/106/10
44%4/9
Match Corners > 9.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%3/6
9/106/10
44%4/9
Match Corners > 10.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%2/6
9/106/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/109/101010
2.33
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.50
9/106/10
44%4/9
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

17%1/6
9/106/10
13.22
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.33
9/106/10
100%7/7
Match Cards > 3.589%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%7/9
7/109/10
86%6/7
Match Cards > 4.571%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%5/9
7/109/10
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

59%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCincinnati at home · Fire on the road
55
1.80
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.60
60%3/5
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%2/5
40%2/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%1/5
3.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.20
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
40%2/5
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
20%1/5
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%4/5
80%4/5
Over 2.570%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%3/5
1.31
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.49
1.38
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.30