Liga MX·
Semi-finals·12/03/2025·22:10
Monterrey
Monterrey
LWLDL
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Toluca
Toluca
DWWDD
📍 Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Monterrey
Season statsLiga MX
Monterrey19matchesToluca19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Liga MX.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
46%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

66%
1591
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1744
51%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

71%
40%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
3.48
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.99

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1919
1.79
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.16
53%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

63%
21%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
26%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

11%
26%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%
11%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

21%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1919
1.89
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.37
89%
Scored > 0.584%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

79%
84%
Over 1.582%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

79%
63%
Over 2.563%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%
47%
Over 3.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

53%
63%
BTTS61%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%
26%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

42%
37%
Scored Both Halves50%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

63%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1919
1.63
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
12.05
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.47
4.42
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.21
2.58
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.39
18/19
58%
Save %64%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

70%
26%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

37%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1919
1.89
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.72
2.07
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.92
-0.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.79
-0.16
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.65
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1919
13.32
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.42
5.26
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.32
8.47
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.89
64%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
40%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
14%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

14%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1919
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
87%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

86%
491.58
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

437.53
0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1919
58%11/19
Leading at HT55%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

53%10/19
21%4/19
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

26%5/19
21%4/19
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

21%4/19
79%15/19
HT/FT Same Outcome74%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

68%13/19
82%9/11
Led at HT → Won86%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

90%9/10
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered38%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

75%3/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 19/1919/191919
13%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

9%
13%
16-30'19%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

24%
37%
31-45'26%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
11%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
11%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
16%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

18%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 19/1919/191919
53%10/19
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%10/16
47%9/19
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

38%6/16
70%7/10
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%8/10
33%3/9
Win when Conceding First50%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

67%4/6
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

22'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

23'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 19/1919/191919
21%4/19
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

32%6/19
37%7/19
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

16%3/19
90%9/10
Lead Saved after 75'95%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%11/11
10%1/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/11
16%3/19
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

5%1/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 19/1919/191919
82%31/38
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%41/45
16%6/38
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%3/45
3%1/38
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/45
3%1/30
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

20%4/20
0%0/30
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%1/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1919
3.89
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.50
18/19
4.53
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.94
18/19
46%
Corner Share52%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

58%
18/19
-1.14
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.50
26%5/19
Match Corners > 8.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%12/18
18/19
26%5/19
Match Corners > 9.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

44%8/18
18/19
21%4/19
Match Corners > 10.527%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%6/18
18/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 19/1919/191919
2.11
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.84
21%4/19
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%2/19
11.53
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.21
76%13/17
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%14/18
17/1918/19
65%11/17
Match Cards > 4.560%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%10/18
17/1918/19
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

54%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMonterrey at home · Toluca on the road
99
2.33
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.22
67%6/9
Win Rate67%

Share of sampled matches won.

67%6/9
0%0/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

11%1/9
2.22
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.78
33%3/9
Clean Sheet39%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%4/9
67%6/9
BTTS56%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%4/9
56%5/9
Over 2.556%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%5/9
2.10
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.37
1.46
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.01