Cup·
Round of 16·12/04/2025·14:30
Genk
Genk
WWLDW
1-3
Extra Time
HT1-0AET0-2
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
WWWWW
📍 Cegeka Arena, Genk

Stats below use each team's main league —Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium

Last 10Cup
Genk10matchesAnderlecht10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
68%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

79%
1670
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1659
67%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

72%
68%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

86%
2.48
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.47

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.30
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

70%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
30%
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
80%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
70%
Over 1.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

40%
50%
Over 2.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%
20%
Over 3.520%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
60%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
20%
Scored Both Halves15%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

10%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.50
14.22
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.56
9/109/10
4.33
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.89
9/109/10
3.11
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.11
9/109/10
72%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

73%
9/109/10
30%
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.63
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.38
1.30
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.00
0.33
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.39
-0.10
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.11
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.78
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.44
9/109/10
5.22
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.67
9/109/10
8.11
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.67
9/109/10
59%
Box Shot %59%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
9/109/10
38%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
9/109/10
10%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%
9/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
57%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
9/109/10
85%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
9/109/10
550.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

438.11
9/109/10
0.17
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.05

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%5/10
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won73%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
13%
0-15'23%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

33%
6%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

25%
25%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
25%
46-60'25%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
19%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
13%
76-90+'10%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

8%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
67%6/9
Scored First73%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

80%8/10
33%3/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

20%2/10
67%4/6
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%6/8
33%1/3
Win when Conceding First42%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%1/2
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

39'
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

44'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'15%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

10%1/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'86%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

71%5/7
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

29%2/7
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
100%16/16
Open-Play Share100%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%12/12
0%0/16
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/12
0%0/16
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/12
10%1/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/6
0%0/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

17%1/6

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.56
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.56
9/109/10
4.22
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.56
9/109/10
52%
Corner Share58%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

65%
9/109/10
0.95
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.06
44%4/9
Match Corners > 8.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%7/9
9/109/10
33%3/9
Match Corners > 9.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

67%6/9
9/109/10
33%3/9
Match Corners > 10.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

56%5/9
9/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.22
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.67
9/109/10
0%0/9
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/9
9/109/10
9.67
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.22
9/109/10
43%3/7
Match Cards > 3.556%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

70%7/10
7/10
43%3/7
Match Cards > 4.551%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

60%6/10
7/10
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeGenk at home · Anderlecht on the road
64
1.83
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.25
50%3/6
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

25%1/4
17%1/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
1.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
33%2/6
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
50%3/6
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
50%3/6
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%1/4
1.67
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.14
1.12
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.31