Primera División - Clausura·
Clausura - 12·10/19/2025·14:30
Progreso
Progreso
WWDWD
2-3
Finished
HT1-1
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
LLWWD
📍 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Season statsPrimera División - Clausura
Progreso11matchesSporting11matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Primera División - Clausura.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
71%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

51%
1312
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1419
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
85%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

43%
1.60
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.86

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1111
1.55
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.73
45%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

55%
18%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

9%
36%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

36%
55%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%
18%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

45%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1111
1.18
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.73
82%
Scored > 0.568%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

55%
64%
Over 1.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

36%
45%
Over 2.536%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

27%
18%
Over 3.514%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

9%
45%
BTTS32%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

18%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
9%
Scored Both Halves9%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

9%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1111
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.91
55%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1111
1.30
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.23
1.23
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.07
0.07
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.16
-0.23
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.17
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.08

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1111
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.19

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1111
45%5/11
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

9%1/11
36%4/11
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

73%8/11
18%2/11
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

18%2/11
64%7/11
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

36%4/11
60%3/5
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 11/1111/111111
23%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
38%
16-30'19%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
15%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
15%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
8%
61-75'9%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
0%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 11/1111/111111
78%7/9
Scored First69%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
22%2/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

40%4/10
71%5/7
Win when Scoring First86%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%6/6
0%0/2
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

54'
15'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

46'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 11/1111/111111
0%0/11
Scored after 75'14%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

27%3/11
18%2/11
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

18%2/11
83%5/6
Lead Saved after 75'92%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%4/4
17%1/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/4
0%0/11
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/11

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 11/1111/111111
85%11/13
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%8/9
15%2/13
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/9
0%0/13
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

11%1/9
18%2/11
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/9
0%0/11
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/9

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1111
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.08

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 11/1111/111111
91%10/11
Match Cards > 3.575%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

60%6/10
10/11
91%10/11
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

40%4/10
10/11
54%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

76%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeProgreso at home · Sporting on the road
56
2.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.67
80%4/5
Win Rate48%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%1/6
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

67%4/6
1.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.17
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
60%3/5
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
40%2/5
BTTS20%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

0%0/6
40%2/5
Over 2.528%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

17%1/6
1.68
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.86
1.33
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.16