FA Trophy·
3rd Round Qualifying·10/04/2025·10:00
Ashton United
Ashton United
LDLDW
1-2
Finished
HT0-2
Clitheroe
Clitheroe
WWWDL
📍 Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester

Stats below use each team's main league —Non League Premier - NorthernEngland·Non League Div One - Northern WestEngland

Last 10FA Trophy
United10matchesClitheroe10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
47%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

77%
1429
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1483
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
36%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

85%
2.61
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.12

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.80
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
50%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
20%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
100%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
100%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

60%
40%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
30%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
80%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
20%
Scored Both Halves32%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

44%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.70
20%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.07
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.60
0.93
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.95
0.14
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.65
0.32
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.15

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
40%4/10
Leading at HT37%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%3/9
20%2/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

56%5/9
40%4/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

11%1/9
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%5/9
50%2/4
Led at HT → Won58%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%2/3
50%2/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 7/100/101010
0%
0-15'

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

22%
16-30'

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
31-45'

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

11%
46-60'

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
61-75'

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

33%
76-90+'

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 7/100/101010
29%2/7
Scored First

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

0/0
71%5/7
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

0/0
50%1/2
Win when Scoring First

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

0/0
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0/0
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 7/100/101010
43%3/7
Scored after 75'

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

0/0
0%0/7
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

0/0
100%1/1
Lead Saved after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

0/0
0%0/1
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0/0
43%3/7
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0/0

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 7/100/101010
100%9/9
Open-Play Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

0/0
0%0/9
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0/0
0%0/9
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0/0
30%3/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0/0
0%0/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0/0

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 7/100/101010
100%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeUnited at home · Clitheroe on the road
68
1.67
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
50%3/6
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%4/8
33%2/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%2/8
1.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.63
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.88
33%2/6
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%3/8
67%4/6
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%4/8
50%3/6
Over 2.556%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

63%5/8
1.15
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.47
0.70
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.32