First League·
Regular Season - 13·10/06/2025·12:30
KAMAZ
KAMAZ
LDDLD
5-1
Finished
HT3-1
Ural
Ural
LWDWD
📍 KAMAZ Stadium, Naberezhnye Chelny
Season statsFirst League
KAMAZ12matchesUral12matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
46%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

59%
1330
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1402
53%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
39%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

53%
1.43
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.36

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1212
1.58
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
42%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

58%
33%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

25%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

17%
17%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

17%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1212
1.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.67
75%
Scored > 0.579%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

83%
83%
Over 1.579%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

75%
50%
Over 2.546%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

42%
17%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

25%
67%
BTTS58%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
33%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
33%
Scored Both Halves33%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

33%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1212
1.08
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.83
17%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1212
1.13
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.89
1.23
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.29
-0.11
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.60
-0.15
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.31
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.22

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1212
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1212
33%4/12
Leading at HT38%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

42%5/12
42%5/12
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%6/12
25%3/12
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

8%1/12
92%11/12
HT/FT Same Outcome75%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

58%7/12
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won90%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 12/1212/121212
18%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
12%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
18%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
18%
46-60'16%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

15%
6%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

25%
29%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

20%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 12/1212/121212
64%7/11
Scored First68%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

73%8/11
36%4/11
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

27%3/11
71%5/7
Win when Scoring First73%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%6/8
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%1/3
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

32'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 12/1212/121212
42%5/12
Scored after 75'38%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%4/12
8%1/12
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

17%2/12
83%5/6
Lead Saved after 75'92%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%7/7
17%1/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/7
8%1/12
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/12

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 12/1212/121212
71%12/17
Open-Play Share83%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%19/20
24%4/17
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/20
6%1/17
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/20
0%0/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

20%2/10
0%0/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

10%1/10

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1212
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.79

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 12/1212/121212
2.92
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.25
8%1/12
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/12
0.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

0.00
83%10/12
Match Cards > 3.564%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

45%5/11
11/12
58%7/12
Match Cards > 4.529%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

0%0/11
11/12
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeKAMAZ at home · Ural on the road
55
1.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
40%2/5
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%3/5
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%1/5
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
20%1/5
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%2/5
80%4/5
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%2/5
60%3/5
Over 2.540%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%1/5
1.30
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.54
1.13
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.34