FKF Premier League·
Regular Season - 28·04/18/2026·12:00 PM
Tusker
Tusker
WLLWW
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Sofapaka
Sofapaka
DLDLL
📍 Police Sacco Stadium, Nairobi
Season statsFKF Premier League
Tusker27matchesSofapaka27matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in FKF Premier League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
55%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

30%
1387
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1278
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

22%
55%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

37%
1.48
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.46

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2727
1.48
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.59
44%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

11%
15%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
41%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

63%
37%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

22%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

67%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2727
0.89
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.56
70%
Scored > 0.552%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

33%
52%
Over 1.556%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

59%
30%
Over 2.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

26%
7%
Over 3.511%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

15%
37%
BTTS31%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

26%
11%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

4%
7%
Scored Both Halves9%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

11%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2727
0.96
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
37%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

22%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2727
1.06
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.47
1.11
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.64
-0.05
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-1.16
-0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2727
33%9/27
Leading at HT22%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

11%3/27
33%9/27
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

44%12/27
33%9/27
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

44%12/27
63%17/27
HT/FT Same Outcome72%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

81%22/27
78%7/9
Led at HT → Won89%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%3/3
11%1/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered6%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/12

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 26/2723/272727
15%
0-15'18%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
15%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

20%
27%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
4%
46-60'2%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
12%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
27%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 26/2723/272727
65%17/26
Scored First46%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

27%6/22
35%9/26
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

73%16/22
71%12/17
Win when Scoring First60%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%3/6
0%0/9
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/16
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

25'
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

32'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 26/2723/272727
27%7/26
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

13%3/23
19%5/26
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

26%6/23
75%9/12
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
25%3/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
4%1/26
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

9%2/23

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 26/2723/272727
85%22/26
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%14/15
8%2/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%1/15
8%2/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/15
0%0/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/34
0%0/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/34

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 26/2723/272727
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

100%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeTusker at home · Sofapaka on the road
1313
1.38
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.62
38%5/13
Win Rate27%

Share of sampled matches won.

15%2/13
38%5/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

69%9/13
0.85
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.54
1.08
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.38
38%5/13
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

15%2/13
38%5/13
BTTS31%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

23%3/13
31%4/13
Over 2.531%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

31%4/13
1.10
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.49
1.02
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.76