FA Trophy·
2nd Round Qualifying·09/19/2025·14:45
Stalybridge Celtic
Stalybridge Celtic
WLWWW
0-3
Finished
HT0-1
Lower Breck
Lower Breck
WLLLW
📍 Bower Fold, Stalybridge, Greater Manchester

Stats below use each team's main league —Non League Div One - Northern WestEngland

Last 10FA Trophy
Celtic10matchesBreck10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
70%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

39%
1488
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1502
69%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

41%
70%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

37%
3.72
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.80

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
100%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
100%
Over 1.5100%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
50%
Over 2.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

70%
40%
Over 3.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

60%
70%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
57%
Scored Both Halves54%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.90
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.75
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.40
1.06
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.00
0.69
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

2.40
0.32
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.88

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
57%4/7
Leading at HT54%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%1/2
29%2/7
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%1/2
14%1/7
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/2
86%6/7
HT/FT Same Outcome68%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%1/2
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 0/101/101010
0-15'

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
16-30'

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

25%
31-45'

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
46-60'

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
61-75'

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

50%
76-90+'

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 0/101/101010
0/0
Scored First

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

100%1/1
0/0
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

0%0/1
0/0
Win when Scoring First

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%1/1
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 0/101/101010
0/0
Scored after 75'

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

100%1/1
0/0
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

0%0/1
0/0
Lead Saved after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0/0
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
0/0
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/1

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 0/101/101010
0/0
Open-Play Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%4/4
0/0
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/4
0/0
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/4

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCeltic at home · Breck on the road
56
1.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
40%2/5
Win Rate45%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%3/6
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%3/6
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.17
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
40%2/5
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%3/6
60%3/5
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%2/6
20%1/5
Over 2.543%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

67%4/6
1.30
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.40
0.57
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.00