FA Cup·
2nd Round Qualifying·09/13/2025·10:00
Tower Hamlets
Tower Hamlets
WWWLL
0-2
Finished
HT0-0
Flackwell Heath
Flackwell Heath
LWWWL
📍 Mile End Stadium, London

Stats below use each team's main league —Non League Div One - Southern CentralEngland

Last 10FA Cup
Hamlets10matchesHeath10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
64%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

67%
1558
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1502
53%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

69%
74%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

65%
4.93
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.09

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.20
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

70%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
10%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.20
100%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
100%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

60%
100%
Over 2.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
90%
Over 3.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

10%
90%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
100%
Scored Both Halves61%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

22%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.90
10%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
4.80
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.13
1.20
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.87
3.60
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.26
-1.13
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.68

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
100%1/1
Leading at HT67%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%3/9
0%0/1
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

56%5/9
0%0/1
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

11%1/9
100%1/1
HT/FT Same Outcome78%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%5/9
100%1/1
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0/0
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeHamlets at home · Heath on the road
65
1.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.80
50%3/6
Win Rate55%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%3/5
50%3/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
3.17
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.40
0%0/6
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%2/5
100%6/6
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%1/5
100%6/6
Over 2.570%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
4.80
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.94
1.20
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.97