FA Cup·
2nd Round Qualifying·09/13/2025·10:00
Farnborough
Farnborough
LWDLL
4-1
Finished
HT2-1
Dover
Dover
WDLLW
📍 Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire

Stats below use each team's main league —National League - SouthEngland

Last 10FA Cup
Farnborough10matchesDover10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
47%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

57%
1378
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1460
41%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

60%
52%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

55%
4.50
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.31

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.70
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
10%
Clean Sheet15%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

0%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
100%
Scored > 0.5100%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

100%
90%
Over 1.590%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
80%
Over 2.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

80%
60%
Over 3.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

50%
90%
BTTS85%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
40%
Scored Both Halves40%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.60
10%
Clean Sheet15%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.04
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.93
1.06
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.72
-0.02
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.21
0.80
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.77

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT15%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

10%1/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome40%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

30%3/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered42%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/108/101010
6%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

7%
18%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
18%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

7%
12%
46-60'27%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

43%
18%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

21%
29%
76-90+'22%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

14%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/108/101010
33%3/9
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%5/8
67%6/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

38%3/8
100%3/3
Win when Scoring First90%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%4/5
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
21'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

9'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/108/101010
56%5/9
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

25%2/8
56%5/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%3/8
100%2/2
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
33%3/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

13%1/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/108/101010
100%17/17
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%13/14
0%0/17
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%1/14
0%0/17
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/14
6%1/18
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%1/12
0%0/18
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/12

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/108/101010
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

0%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFarnborough at home · Dover on the road
64
1.17
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.25
33%2/6
Win Rate54%

Share of sampled matches won.

75%3/4
50%3/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
1.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.75
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
17%1/6
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
83%5/6
BTTS79%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

75%3/4
67%4/6
Over 2.571%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%3/4
0.65
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.96
0.77
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.61