First League·
Regular Season - 23·02/28/2026·10:30
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
WLLLL
2-0
Finished
HT0-0
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
WWWWW
📍 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia21matchesSofia22matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
34%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

85%
1338
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1665
33%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

74%
34%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

95%
2.47
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.68

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2122
0.86
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.82
24%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
14%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

32%
62%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

18%
19%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

27%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2122
0.95
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
67%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

73%
76%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

64%
62%
Over 2.549%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

36%
38%
Over 3.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

27%
52%
BTTS51%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

27%
10%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

36%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2122
2.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.77
16.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

8.40
4/215/22
7.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.60
4/215/22
3.25
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.00
4/215/22
46%
Save %62%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

77%
4/215/22
19%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2122
1.25
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.93
1.66
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.76
-0.42
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.17
-0.31
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.17
0.17
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2122
7.75
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

18.20
4/215/22
2.75
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.80
4/215/22
3.75
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.00
4/215/22
48%
Box Shot %49%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

49%
4/215/22
35%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
4/215/22
3%
Shot Conversion7%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
4/215/22

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2122
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

57%
4/215/22
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
4/215/22
366.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

421.60
4/215/22
-0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.22

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2122
24%5/21
Leading at HT32%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

41%9/22
29%6/21
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

41%9/22
48%10/21
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

18%4/22
62%13/21
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

59%13/22
60%3/5
Led at HT → Won69%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

78%7/9
10%1/10
Trailed at HT → Recovered30%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 21/2122/222122
0%
0-15'6%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
14%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
38%
31-45'33%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

27%
19%
46-60'19%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

18%
10%
61-75'9%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

9%
19%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 21/2122/222122
40%8/20
Scored First53%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

65%13/20
60%12/20
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

35%7/20
50%4/8
Win when Scoring First60%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

69%9/13
8%1/12
Win when Conceding First18%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

29%2/7
44'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

44'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 21/2122/222122
14%3/21
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

36%8/22
43%9/21
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

32%7/22
67%4/6
Lead Saved after 75'73%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%8/10
33%2/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%2/10
5%1/21
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/22

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 21/2122/222122
81%17/21
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%30/33
14%3/21
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%3/33
5%1/21
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/33
9%4/44
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%1/17
2%1/44
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/17

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2122
3.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.40
4/215/22
5.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2.60
4/215/22
35%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

71%
4/215/22
-2.93
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

4.02
25%1/4
Match Corners > 8.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%3/5
4/215/22
25%1/4
Match Corners > 9.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

60%3/5
4/215/22
25%1/4
Match Corners > 10.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

60%3/5
4/215/22

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 21/2122/222122
2.75
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.60
4/215/22
25%1/4
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/5
4/215/22
12.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.20
4/215/22
81%17/21
Match Cards > 3.588%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

95%19/20
20/22
71%15/21
Match Cards > 4.568%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

65%13/20
20/22
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Sofia on the road
1011
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.45
30%3/10
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

36%4/11
60%6/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

27%3/11
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.18
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.82
20%2/10
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%4/11
60%6/10
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

36%4/11
60%6/10
Over 2.539%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

18%2/11
1.39
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.59
1.57
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.82