First League·
Regular Season - 13·10/26/2025·11:15
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
WDDDL
5-1
Finished
HT2-0
Beroe
Beroe
DLWDW
📍 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia12matchesBeroe11matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

53%
1555
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1451
57%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

52%
67%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

54%
1.45
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.44

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1211
1.08
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.27
17%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

27%
58%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

45%
25%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

27%
25%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%
42%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

27%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1211
0.83
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.09
58%
Scored > 0.566%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

73%
50%
Over 1.561%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

73%
17%
Over 2.531%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
17%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

36%
50%
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

55%
8%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

9%
17%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

9%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1211
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.36
8.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

1/120/11
5.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

1/120/11
5.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1/120/11
100%
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

1/120/11
25%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

36%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1211
1.22
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.34
0.85
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.69
0.36
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.35
0.01
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.20
0.07
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1211
9.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

1/120/11
4.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

1/120/11
3.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

1/120/11
33%
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

1/120/11
44%
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

1/120/11
11%
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

1/120/11

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1211
49%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

1/120/11
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

1/120/11
331.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

1/120/11
0.28
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.40

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1211
33%4/12
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

18%2/11
50%6/12
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

64%7/11
17%2/12
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

18%2/11
58%7/12
HT/FT Same Outcome61%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

64%7/11
50%2/4
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 12/1211/111211
30%
0-15'19%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

7%
10%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

21%
20%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

14%
20%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
0%
61-75'7%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

14%
20%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 12/1211/111211
60%6/10
Scored First69%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

78%7/9
40%4/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

22%2/9
33%2/6
Win when Scoring First38%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

43%3/7
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/2
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

39'
61'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

26'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 12/1211/111211
8%1/12
Scored after 75'18%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

27%3/11
42%5/12
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

27%3/11
50%2/4
Lead Saved after 75'63%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%3/4
50%2/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%1/4
0%0/12
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/11

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 12/1211/111211
90%9/10
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

79%11/14
10%1/10
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%1/14
0%0/10
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

14%2/14
10%1/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%1/13
0%0/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/13

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1211
5.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

1/120/11
6.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

1/120/11
45%
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

1/120/11
3.00
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.00
100%1/1
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
1/120/11
100%1/1
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
1/120/11
100%1/1
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
1/120/11

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 12/1211/111211
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1/120/11
0%0/1
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0/0
1/120/11
13.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

1/120/11
100%11/11
Match Cards > 3.585%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

70%7/10
11/1210/11
64%7/11
Match Cards > 4.562%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

60%6/10
11/1210/11
77%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Beroe on the road
56
1.20
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
20%1/5
Win Rate18%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%1/6
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%2/6
0.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
0.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.83
40%2/5
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
40%2/5
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%3/6
20%1/5
Over 2.543%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

67%4/6
1.65
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.32
0.78
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.79