UEFA Europa League·
League Stage - 3·10/23/2025·15:00
Celtic
Celtic
LWLDD
2-1
Finished
HT0-1
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
WWWWL
📍 Celtic Park, Glasgow

Stats below use each team's main league —PremiershipScotland·BundesligaAustria

Last 10UEFA Europa League
Celtic10matchesGraz10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
50%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

81%
1674
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1761
61%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

74%
38%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

87%
2.42
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.79

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.40
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

80%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

0%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
50%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
50%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.30
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
50%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
70%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
40%
Over 2.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
20%
Over 3.515%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

10%
30%
BTTS30%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
20%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
9.11
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.11
9/109/10
2.67
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.56
9/109/10
1.78
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.78
9/109/10
67%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

83%
9/109/10
50%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.24
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.79
0.66
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.16
0.58
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.63
0.55
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.01
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
15.33
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.44
9/109/10
5.44
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.56
9/109/10
10.22
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.44
9/109/10
67%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
9/109/10
36%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
9/109/10
7%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%
9/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
68%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
9/109/10
88%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
9/109/10
647.22
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

391.67
9/109/10
0.39
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
10%1/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
70%7/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%1/1
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
0%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
21%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
7%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
29%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

6%
14%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

22%
29%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
71%5/7
Scored First71%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

70%7/10
29%2/7
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

30%3/10
80%4/5
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

86%6/7
0%0/2
Win when Conceding First33%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

67%2/3
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

42'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

86%6/7
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

14%1/7
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
79%11/14
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%16/18
14%2/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%1/18
7%1/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

6%1/18
14%1/7
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/8
0%0/7
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

13%1/8

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
7.22
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.56
9/109/10
4.44
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.89
9/109/10
62%
Corner Share55%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
9/109/10
4.43
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.77
100%9/9
Match Corners > 8.583%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%6/9
9/109/10
78%7/9
Match Corners > 9.567%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%5/9
9/109/10
67%6/9
Match Corners > 10.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

22%2/9
9/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.67
9/10
0%0/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/9
9/10
13.80
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.67
9/10
38%3/8
Match Cards > 3.554%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

70%7/10
8/10
13%1/8
Match Cards > 4.541%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

70%7/10
8/10
86%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCeltic at home · Graz on the road
46
1.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.50
50%2/4
Win Rate67%

Share of sampled matches won.

83%5/6
25%1/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

17%1/6
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.17
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.83
50%2/4
Clean Sheet58%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

67%4/6
25%1/4
BTTS21%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

17%1/6
50%2/4
Over 2.542%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%2/6
1.54
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.87
0.55
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.29