UEFA Europa League·
League Stage - 1·09/24/2025·12:45
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
WWLWW
2-0
Finished
HT1-0
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
WWLWW
📍 MCH Arena, Herning

Stats below use each team's main league —SuperligaDenmark·BundesligaAustria

Last 10UEFA Europa League
Midtjylland10matchesGraz10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
76%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

68%
1804
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1662
79%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

69%
72%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

66%
2.81
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.52

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.10
80%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

70%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

0%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
60%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.90
90%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
90%
Over 1.590%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
50%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
40%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
30%
BTTS30%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
30%
Scored Both Halves40%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.70
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
11.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.25
8/108/10
4.63
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.25
8/108/10
3.75
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.13
8/108/10
81%
Save %77%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
8/108/10
60%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.31
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.60
0.92
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.15
1.39
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.45
-0.00
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.12
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
16.63
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.88
8/108/10
7.50
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.88
8/108/10
9.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.00
6/108/10
43%
Box Shot %51%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

59%
8/108/10
45%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

35%
8/108/10
15%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%
8/108/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
50%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
8/108/10
83%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
6/108/10
429.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

409.00
6/108/10
-0.04
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
60%6/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

20%2/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
30%3/10
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

80%8/10
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%6/6
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
12%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

22%
8%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
12%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

22%
19%
46-60'12%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

6%
12%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
38%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

22%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
90%9/10
Scored First70%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
10%1/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%5/10
89%8/9
Win when Scoring First94%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%5/5
0%0/1
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

40%2/5
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

25'
8'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

23'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
60%6/10
Scored after 75'50%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

0%0/10
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%7/7
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/7
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
92%24/26
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%16/18
4%1/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%1/18
4%1/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

6%1/18
0%0/6
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/11
0%0/6
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

18%2/11

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.88
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.88
8/108/10
3.38
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.00
8/108/10
59%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

49%
8/108/10
0.67
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.09
50%4/8
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

75%6/8
8/108/10
25%2/8
Match Corners > 9.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%4/8
8/108/10
13%1/8
Match Corners > 10.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

38%3/8
8/108/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.11
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.13
9/108/10
11%1/9
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/8
9/108/10
9.89
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.50
9/108/10
67%6/9
Match Cards > 3.572%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%7/9
9/109/10
33%3/9
Match Cards > 4.556%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

78%7/9
9/109/10
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMidtjylland at home · Graz on the road
57
2.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.57
80%4/5
Win Rate83%

Share of sampled matches won.

86%6/7
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

14%1/7
3.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.29
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.86
60%3/5
Clean Sheet66%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

71%5/7
40%2/5
BTTS27%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

14%1/7
60%3/5
Over 2.559%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%4/7
2.63
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.60
1.30
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.32