NM Cupen·
1st Round·08/27/2025·12:00
Bjarg
Bjarg
WWWDW
2-1
Finished
HT1-0
Vard
Vard
DLDLD
Last 10NM Cupen
Bjarg10matchesVard10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1459
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1238

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.80
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.90
90%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

10%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

60%
0%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
40%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.70
100%
Scored > 0.595%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
90%
Over 1.595%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
70%
Over 2.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

70%
40%
Over 3.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

50%
60%
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

90%
50%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
60%
Scored Both Halves45%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.10
40%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.13
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.00
0.51
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.29
1.62
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.29
1.00
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.66

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
60%6/10
Leading at HT60%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

10%1/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%5/10
100%6/6
Led at HT → Won58%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

17%1/6
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
19%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
7%
16-30'21%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

35%
26%
31-45'31%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

35%
19%
46-60'12%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

6%
19%
61-75'9%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
11%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
80%8/10
Scored First75%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

70%7/10
20%2/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%8/8
Win when Scoring First57%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

14%1/7
50%1/2
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

28'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
10%1/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

70%7/10
100%9/9
Lead Saved after 75'60%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

20%1/5
0%0/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

80%4/5
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
93%25/27
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%17/17
7%2/27
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/17
0%0/27
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/17
0%0/6
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%1/21
0%0/6
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/21

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
0/0
Match Cards > 3.5

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

56%5/9
0/109/10
0/0
Match Cards > 4.5

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

33%3/9
0/109/10
100%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBjarg at home · Vard on the road
55
2.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
80%4/5
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.20
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.60
60%3/5
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/5
40%2/5
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%4/5
40%2/5
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%3/5
1.77
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.63
0.47
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.31