CONMEBOL Sudamericana·
Quarter-finals·09/16/2025·20:30
Lanus
Lanus
WLLDW
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Fluminense
Fluminense
LWDLL
📍 Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Stats below use each team's main league —Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina·Serie ABrazil

Last 10CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Lanus10matchesFluminense10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
50%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

54%
1641
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1632
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

55%
42%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

52%
1.71
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.92

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.50
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
70%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
50%
Over 1.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
20%
Over 2.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
0%
Over 3.510%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
20%
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
0%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.70
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
10.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.89
8/109/10
3.50
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.33
8/109/10
2.63
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.33
8/109/10
75%
Save %73%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

70%
8/109/10
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.04
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.24
0.86
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.92
0.18
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.32
-0.11
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.04
0.08
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
13.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.56
8/109/10
4.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.89
8/109/10
8.13
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.78
8/109/10
63%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
8/109/10
31%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
8/109/10
8%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%
8/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
8/109/10
78%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
8/109/10
415.25
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

433.56
8/109/10
0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome55%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%3/3
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered42%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
9%
0-15'19%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

29%
0%
16-30'4%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
18%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

7%
36%
46-60'32%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

29%
18%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

21%
18%
76-90+'13%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

7%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored First53%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
100%5/5
Win when Scoring First80%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

60%3/5
20%1/5
Win when Conceding First23%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
50'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
47'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

42'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'15%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

10%1/10
10%1/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

40%4/10
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%1/4
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
91%10/11
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%12/14
9%1/11
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%1/14
0%0/11
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

7%1/14
0%0/7
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%1/12
0%0/7
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%1/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.75
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.89
8/109/10
5.38
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.44
8/109/10
47%
Corner Share44%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

42%
8/109/10
-0.04
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.82
50%4/8
Match Corners > 8.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

56%5/9
8/109/10
50%4/8
Match Corners > 9.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

44%4/9
8/109/10
38%3/8
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%3/9
8/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.75
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.78
8/109/10
13%1/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%1/9
8/109/10
11.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.78
8/109/10
78%7/9
Match Cards > 3.583%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%8/9
9/109/10
44%4/9
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

78%7/9
9/109/10
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeLanus at home · Fluminense on the road
55
2.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
80%4/5
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
0.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.80
80%4/5
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
20%1/5
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
0%0/5
Over 2.530%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%3/5
1.66
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.06
0.71
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.10