EFL Trophy·
Southern - 2·09/30/2025·14:00
Peterborough
Peterborough
LWWLL
4-2
Finished
HT0-1
Aston Villa U21
Aston Villa U21
WWLLW
📍 Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough

Stats below use each team's main league —League OneEngland·Premier League 2 Division OneEngland

Last 10EFL Trophy
Peterborough10matchesU2110matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
42%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

51%
1397
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1246
34%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

44%
49%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

57%
2.81
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

4.49

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
0.70
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.20
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
70%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
10%
Clean Sheet5%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
0.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.90
60%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
80%
Over 1.590%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
60%
Over 2.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

100%
20%
Over 3.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

80%
50%
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

90%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
0%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.40
12.20
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.00
1/10
4.80
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

8.00
1/10
2.80
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.00
1/10
58%
Save %48%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

38%
1/10
10%
Clean Sheet5%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
0.95
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.51
1.77
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.21
-0.83
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.70
0.07
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.06
0.09
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.20

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
11.30
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.00
1/10
2.70
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

7.00
1/10
6.80
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.00
1/10
60%
Box Shot %72%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

83%
1/10
24%
On-Target %41%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

58%
1/10
7%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

17%
1/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

44%
1/10
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
1/10
473.10
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

385.00
1/10
0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

20%2/10
50%5/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

50%5/10
80%8/10
HT/FT Same Outcome75%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
100%2/2
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%2/3
0%0/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered10%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

20%1/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/109/101010
0%
0-15'0%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
13%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
38%
31-45'31%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
13%
46-60'25%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

38%
0%
61-75'6%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

13%
38%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/109/101010
30%3/10
Scored First21%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

11%1/9
70%7/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

89%8/9
67%2/3
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%1/1
0%0/7
Win when Conceding First13%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%2/8
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

24'
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

18'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/109/101010
30%3/10
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

22%2/9
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

44%4/9
100%2/2
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

25%1/4
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/109/101010
100%8/8
Open-Play Share94%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%14/16
0%0/8
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%2/16
0%0/8
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/16
0%0/19
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%2/24
0%0/19
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/24

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.50
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.00
1/10
3.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.00
1/10
61%
Corner Share59%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

57%
1/10
0.18
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-4.81
50%5/10
Match Corners > 8.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0%0/1
1/10
50%5/10
Match Corners > 9.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0%0/1
1/10
30%3/10
Match Corners > 10.515%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0%0/1
1/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/109/101010
1.60
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
1/10
0%0/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/1
1/10
11.70
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.00
1/10
56%5/9
Match Cards > 3.572%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

88%7/8
9/108/10
33%3/9
Match Cards > 4.542%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%4/8
9/108/10
68%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePeterborough at home · U21 on the road
56
0.80
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.67
20%1/5
Win Rate35%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%3/6
60%3/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%2/6
0.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.33
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.50
0%0/5
Clean Sheet0%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/6
60%3/5
BTTS80%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

100%6/6
60%3/5
Over 2.580%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

100%6/6
1.05
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.57
1.62
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.19