FA Cup·
Preliminary Round Replays·08/20/2025·14:45
Ilford
Ilford
DWLDL
1-1
Penalties
PEN5-3AET0-0
Ware
Ware
DWWWD
📍 Cricklefield Stadium, Ilford, Essex

Stats below use each team's main league —Non League Div One - Southern CentralEngland

Last 10FA Cup
Ilford10matchesWare10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
53%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

72%
1493
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1497
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
56%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

75%
3.17
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

4.04

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.20
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%
10%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.40
80%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
90%
Over 1.590%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
80%
Over 2.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
40%
Over 3.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
70%
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
Scored Both Halves

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

75%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
10%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.78
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.88
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.90
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.14

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
0/0
Leading at HT

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

75%3/4
0/0
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

25%1/4
0/0
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/4
0/0
HT/FT Same Outcome

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

100%4/4
0/0
Led at HT → Won

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%3/3

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeIlford at home · Ware on the road
44
0.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.50
25%1/4
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

75%3/4
75%3/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%0/4
1.25
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
2.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.25
0%0/4
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

75%3/4
50%2/4
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

25%1/4
100%4/4
Over 2.575%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.22
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.29