UEFA Europa League·
Play-offs·08/21/2025·13:00
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
WLLDW
3-0
Finished
HT2-0
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
WLWDW
📍 Eleda Stadion, Malmö

Stats below use each team's main league —AllsvenskanSweden·Czech LigaCzech Republic

Last 10UEFA Europa League
FF10matchesOlomouc10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
57%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

67%
1679
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1555
71%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
44%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

68%
3.60
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.82

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.20
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
70%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
40%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
80%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
80%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

60%
70%
Over 2.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
70%
Over 3.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
50%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

40%
50%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

0%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.30
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
11.14
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.00
7/107/10
4.14
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.00
7/107/10
2.57
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.43
7/107/10
62%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

81%
7/107/10
40%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.93
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.00
1.45
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.96
0.48
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.04
-0.15
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.20
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.09

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
12.57
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.57
7/107/10
4.57
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

2.29
7/107/10
9.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.00
7/107/10
72%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
7/107/10
36%
On-Target %28%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

20%
7/107/10
15%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

7%
7/107/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
7/107/10
86%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

70%
7/107/10
559.43
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

317.71
7/107/10
0.14
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

70%7/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

30%3/10
100%5/5
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%1/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/109/101010
15%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
10%
16-30'5%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
20%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
25%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

17%
15%
61-75'24%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

33%
15%
76-90+'16%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

17%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/109/101010
78%7/9
Scored First83%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

88%7/8
22%2/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

13%1/8
100%7/7
Win when Scoring First86%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%5/7
0%0/2
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/1
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

53'
41'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

56'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/109/101010
30%3/10
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%3/9
30%3/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

0%0/9
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%2/2
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/2
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/109/101010
95%19/20
Open-Play Share98%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%12/12
5%1/20
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/12
0%0/20
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/12
0%0/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

14%1/7
7%1/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/7

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.86
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.43
7/107/10
3.57
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.86
7/107/10
58%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
7/107/10
1.80
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.65
43%3/7
Match Corners > 8.536%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

29%2/7
7/107/10
29%2/7
Match Corners > 9.529%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

29%2/7
7/107/10
29%2/7
Match Corners > 10.529%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

29%2/7
7/107/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/109/101010
1.38
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.14
8/107/10
0%0/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

14%1/7
8/107/10
9.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.71
8/107/10
88%7/8
Match Cards > 3.581%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

75%6/8
8/108/10
25%2/8
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

63%5/8
8/108/10
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

57%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeFF at home · Olomouc on the road
55
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
60%3/5
Win Rate60%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%3/5
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%1/5
1.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
40%2/5
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
60%3/5
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
60%3/5
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
1.67
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.98
0.93
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.98