UEFA Europa League·
3rd Qualifying Round·08/14/2025·12:00
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
DWDDW
2-0
Finished
HT2-0
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
LDWDL
📍 MCH Arena, Herning

Stats below use each team's main league —SuperligaDenmark·EliteserienNorway

Last 10UEFA Europa League
Midtjylland10matchesFredrikstad10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
65%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

55%
1693
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1573
65%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

53%
65%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

56%
3.44
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.82

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.70
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
50%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
30%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

40%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.10
80%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

60%
80%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
60%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
60%
Over 3.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
70%
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
56%
Scored Both Halves33%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

10%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
18.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.11
4/109/10
4.25
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.89
4/109/10
2.25
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.56
4/109/10
53%
Save %63%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

73%
4/109/10
30%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.14
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.31
1.58
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.42
0.56
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.11
0.01
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.02
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
14.75
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.33
4/109/10
5.75
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.78
4/109/10
10.75
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.22
4/109/10
73%
Box Shot %71%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
4/109/10
39%
On-Target %37%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
4/109/10
20%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%
4/109/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
4/109/10
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
4/109/10
428.75
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

416.78
4/109/10
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
56%5/9
Leading at HT33%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

10%1/10
33%3/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
11%1/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

50%5/10
78%7/9
HT/FT Same Outcome74%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won90%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered70%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%2/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
13%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
13%
16-30'6%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
29%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

11%
4%
46-60'2%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
17%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
25%
76-90+'46%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

67%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
56%5/9
Scored First39%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

22%2/9
44%4/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

78%7/9
40%2/5
Win when Scoring First20%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

0%0/2
50%2/4
Win when Conceding First39%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

29%2/7
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

42'
7'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

21'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored after 75'50%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

50%5/10
40%4/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%5/10
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

0/0
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0/0
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
96%23/24
Open-Play Share92%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%8/9
4%1/24
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/9
0%0/24
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

11%1/9
14%2/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/17
7%1/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

18%3/17

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.25
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.67
4/109/10
5.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.11
4/109/10
44%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
4/109/10
0.24
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.03
75%3/4
Match Corners > 8.576%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

78%7/9
4/109/10
25%1/4
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

78%7/9
4/109/10
25%1/4
Match Corners > 10.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

67%6/9
4/109/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.57
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.50
7/10
14%1/7
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/10
7/10
4.14
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.70
7/10
80%4/5
Match Cards > 3.561%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

43%3/7
5/107/10
60%3/5
Match Cards > 4.537%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

14%1/7
5/107/10
77%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

69%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMidtjylland at home · Fredrikstad on the road
64
1.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.75
33%2/6
Win Rate17%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/4
17%1/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
2.83
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.50
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
17%1/6
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
83%5/6
BTTS67%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
67%4/6
Over 2.546%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%1/4
2.56
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.44
1.90
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.08