Serie B·
Regular Season - 29·03/07/2026·13:30
Modena
Modena
LLWWW
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Cesena
Cesena
LDLLL
📍 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Season statsSerie B
Modena28matchesCesena28matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
49%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

33%
1541
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1460
51%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

37%
47%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

28%
2.51
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.42

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2828
1.54
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.36
43%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

39%
25%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

18%
32%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%
43%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%
25%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

18%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2828
1.32
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.29
75%
Scored > 0.579%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

82%
79%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

82%
46%
Over 2.552%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%
7%
Over 3.518%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

29%
46%
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

68%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
21%
Scored Both Halves25%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

29%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2828
0.86
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.46
10.07
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.71
3.32
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.00
2.46
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.46
74%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

62%
43%
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2828
1.48
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.62
0.94
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.43
0.53
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.19
-0.25
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.48
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2828
16.14
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.96
5.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.18
10.18
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.79
63%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
31%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
8%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2828
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
386.82
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

438.64
0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2828
36%10/28
Leading at HT34%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

32%9/28
36%10/28
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

39%11/28
29%8/28
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

29%8/28
64%18/28
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

61%17/28
80%8/10
Led at HT → Won79%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

78%7/9
38%3/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

13%1/8

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 28/2828/282828
12%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

9%
12%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
24%
31-45'27%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

31%
15%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
18%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

11%
21%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

17%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 28/2828/282828
50%12/24
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

54%15/28
50%12/24
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

46%13/28
83%10/12
Win when Scoring First68%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

53%8/15
17%2/12
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

23%3/13
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

35'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 28/2828/282828
29%8/28
Scored after 75'27%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

25%7/28
21%6/28
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

36%10/28
100%11/11
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%10/10
0%0/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/10
0%0/28
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/28

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 28/2828/282828
79%27/34
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%31/35
21%7/34
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%4/35
0%0/34
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/35
4%1/27
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%2/42
11%3/27
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/42

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2828
5.75
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.14
3.93
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.96
59%
Corner Share58%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

56%
1.21
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.01
61%17/28
Match Corners > 8.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

61%17/28
50%14/28
Match Corners > 9.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

46%13/28
32%9/28
Match Corners > 10.530%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

29%8/28

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 28/2828/282828
2.18
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.18
7%2/28
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%2/28
15.57
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.71
80%20/25
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

74%20/27
25/2827/28
64%16/25
Match Cards > 4.558%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

52%14/27
25/2827/28
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeModena at home · Cesena on the road
1414
1.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.43
43%6/14
Win Rate43%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%6/14
36%5/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%6/14
1.43
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.21
0.93
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.43
43%6/14
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

7%1/14
57%8/14
BTTS64%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

71%10/14
64%9/14
Over 2.561%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%8/14
1.55
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.52
1.03
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.38