Serie B·
Regular Season - 20·01/18/2026·11:15
Palermo
Palermo
DWDWW
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Spezia
Spezia
LWLLW
📍 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Season statsSerie B
Palermo19matchesSpezia19matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
65%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

44%
1515
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1408
63%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

41%
67%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

47%
2.69
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.37

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1919
1.79
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.89
47%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

21%
37%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

26%
16%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

53%
42%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%
26%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

26%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1919
1.53
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.95
74%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

74%
68%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

79%
37%
Over 2.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

42%
21%
Over 3.518%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

16%
42%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

58%
16%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

5%
32%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

5%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1919
0.74
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.42
11.63
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.74
3.53
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.42
2.84
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.00
81%
Save %74%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
42%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1919
2.02
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.54
0.96
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.66
1.06
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.12
-0.46
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.41
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1919
14.53
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.16
4.53
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.84
10.63
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.79
73%
Box Shot %70%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

67%
31%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

38%
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1919
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
77%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
369.79
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

356.21
-0.05
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1919
53%10/19
Leading at HT34%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

16%3/19
16%3/19
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

47%9/19
32%6/19
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

37%7/19
68%13/19
HT/FT Same Outcome58%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

47%9/19
80%8/10
Led at HT → Won40%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0%0/3
50%3/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 19/1919/191919
10%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

22%
13%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
16%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

11%
19%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
13%
61-75'9%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
29%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 19/1919/191919
65%11/17
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

61%11/18
35%6/17
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

39%7/18
82%9/11
Win when Scoring First59%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

36%4/11
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/7
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

24'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 19/1919/191919
37%7/19
Scored after 75'29%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%4/19
16%3/19
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

16%3/19
80%8/10
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%2/2
20%2/10
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/2
0%0/19
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/19

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 19/1919/191919
87%27/31
Open-Play Share91%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%17/18
6%2/31
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%1/18
6%2/31
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/18
0%0/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%2/28
0%0/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/28

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1919
4.95
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.74
4.47
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.58
53%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

46%
0.31
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.58
63%12/19
Match Corners > 8.571%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

79%15/19
53%10/19
Match Corners > 9.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

58%11/19
32%6/19
Match Corners > 10.534%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

37%7/19

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 19/1919/191919
2.21
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.26
16%3/19
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

32%6/19
15.05
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

15.37
76%13/17
Match Cards > 3.585%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

94%17/18
17/1918/19
53%9/17
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

78%14/18
17/1918/19
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

64%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePalermo at home · Spezia on the road
109
2.10
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.89
60%6/10
Win Rate41%

Share of sampled matches won.

22%2/9
10%1/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

56%5/9
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.11
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.44
70%7/10
Clean Sheet46%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

22%2/9
20%2/10
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

56%5/9
40%4/10
Over 2.542%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%4/9
2.27
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.71
0.88
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.59