Serie B·
Regular Season - 18·12/26/2025·11:15
Modena
Modena
LWLLD
1-2
Finished
HT1-0
Monza
Monza
WLDDW
📍 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Season statsSerie B
Modena17matchesMonza17matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
48%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

62%
1478
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1507
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

72%
39%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

52%
2.31
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.61

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1717
1.71
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
47%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

59%
29%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

24%
24%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

18%
41%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%
24%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

12%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1717
1.47
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.47
76%
Scored > 0.582%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

88%
76%
Over 1.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

65%
47%
Over 2.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

35%
12%
Over 3.515%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

18%
47%
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

47%
18%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
29%
Scored Both Halves29%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

29%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1717
0.76
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.76
9.41
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.29
2.94
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.00
2.18
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.50
16/17
74%
Save %76%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

78%
41%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1717
1.74
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.81
1.18
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.02
0.56
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.79
-0.44
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.46
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1717
17.06
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.65
4.94
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.29
10.94
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.24
64%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

68%
29%
On-Target %30%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1717
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

83%
389.53
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

455.82
0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.05

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1717
29%5/17
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

41%7/17
35%6/17
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

53%9/17
35%6/17
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

6%1/17
59%10/17
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

59%10/17
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

86%6/7
50%3/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 17/1717/171717
14%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
0%
16-30'6%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

12%
18%
31-45'24%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

31%
18%
46-60'23%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

27%
23%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
27%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

12%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 17/1717/171717
47%7/15
Scored First65%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

82%14/17
53%8/15
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

18%3/17
86%6/7
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

64%9/14
25%2/8
Win when Conceding First29%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%1/3
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 17/1717/171717
35%6/17
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

18%3/17
18%3/17
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

24%4/17
100%7/7
Lead Saved after 75'86%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

71%10/14
0%0/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

29%4/14
0%0/17
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/17

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 17/1717/171717
73%16/22
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%25/26
27%6/22
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/26
0%0/22
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%1/26
6%1/16
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/12
19%3/16
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/12

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1717
5.88
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.41
3.53
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.06
63%
Corner Share63%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

64%
2.00
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.17
65%11/17
Match Corners > 8.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

53%9/17
59%10/17
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

29%5/17
29%5/17
Match Corners > 10.524%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

18%3/17

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 17/1717/171717
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.12
0%0/17
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

12%2/17
15.29
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

15.12
73%11/15
Match Cards > 3.570%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%10/15
15/1715/17
53%8/15
Match Cards > 4.553%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

53%8/15
15/1715/17
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

50%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeModena at home · Monza on the road
98
1.89
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
56%5/9
Win Rate47%

Share of sampled matches won.

38%3/8
22%2/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%2/8
1.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
0.78
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
44%4/9
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%3/8
56%5/9
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%4/8
67%6/9
Over 2.552%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%3/8
2.05
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.42
1.29
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.26