Serie B·
Regular Season - 18·12/27/2025·11:15
Palermo
Palermo
DWWWD
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Padova
Padova
DWDWL
📍 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Season statsSerie B
Palermo17matchesPadova17matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
66%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1510
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1521
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

53%
73%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

58%
2.83
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.96

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1717
1.76
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.29
47%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

29%
35%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

41%
18%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%
41%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
29%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

24%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1717
1.59
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
71%
Scored > 0.574%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

76%
71%
Over 1.568%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

65%
41%
Over 2.538%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

35%
24%
Over 3.521%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

18%
41%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

59%
18%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

12%
35%
Scored Both Halves24%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

12%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1717
0.76
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.12
11.94
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.71
3.47
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.41
2.76
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.24
80%
Save %76%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

73%
41%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1717
2.12
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.23
1.15
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.24
0.97
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.02
-0.46
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.18
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1717
14.53
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

10.35
4.53
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.82
10.59
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.59
73%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
31%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
11%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1717
49%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
78%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
373.94
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

418.06
-0.01
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.00

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1717
47%8/17
Leading at HT29%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

12%2/17
18%3/17
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

47%8/17
35%6/17
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

41%7/17
71%12/17
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

53%9/17
88%7/8
Led at HT → Won94%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%2/2
50%3/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered54%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

57%4/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 17/1717/171717
7%
0-15'6%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

6%
14%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

18%
14%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

12%
21%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

24%
14%
61-75'19%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

24%
31%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

18%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 17/1717/171717
60%9/15
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

44%7/16
40%6/15
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

56%9/16
89%8/9
Win when Scoring First73%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

57%4/7
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First6%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

11%1/9
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

39'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 17/1717/171717
41%7/17
Scored after 75'29%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

18%3/17
12%2/17
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

18%3/17
88%7/8
Lead Saved after 75'94%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%4/4
13%1/8
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/4
0%0/17
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/17

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 17/1717/171717
86%25/29
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

82%14/17
7%2/29
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%3/17
7%2/29
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/17
0%0/11
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%2/19
0%0/11
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/19

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1717
5.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.82
4.35
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.82
53%
Corner Share47%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

40%
0.52
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.26
59%10/17
Match Corners > 8.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

59%10/17
53%9/17
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

53%9/17
29%5/17
Match Corners > 10.532%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

35%6/17

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 17/1717/171717
2.24
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.82
18%3/17
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

12%2/17
15.06
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.18
73%11/15
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

81%13/16
15/1716/17
53%8/15
Match Cards > 4.564%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

75%12/16
15/1716/17
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

74%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePalermo at home · Padova on the road
99
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.56
56%5/9
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

44%4/9
11%1/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%3/9
1.78
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.89
0.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.89
67%6/9
Clean Sheet56%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%4/9
22%2/9
BTTS33%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%4/9
44%4/9
Over 2.539%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%3/9
2.40
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.09
0.97
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.98