Serie B·
Regular Season - 17·12/19/2025·14:30
Bari
Bari
DDDLL
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
Catanzaro
Catanzaro
WWWDL
📍 Stadio San Nicola, Bari
Season statsSerie B
Bari16matchesCatanzaro16matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
51%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

70%
1394
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1466
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

58%
51%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

82%
1.96
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.92

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1616
1.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.56
19%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

38%
44%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

44%
38%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%
25%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%
31%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

25%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1616
0.88
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
69%
Scored > 0.572%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

75%
75%
Over 1.569%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

63%
44%
Over 2.547%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
25%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

31%
56%
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

63%
6%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

25%
6%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

19%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1616
1.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.13
15.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.75
5.38
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.31
3.81
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.25
71%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
25%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1616
1.15
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.69
1.70
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.47
-0.55
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.22
-0.31
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.28
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1616
10.88
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.25
2.69
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.06
6.25
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.56
57%
Box Shot %61%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

65%
25%
On-Target %28%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
8%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1616
51%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

55%
82%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

83%
410.75
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

439.94
0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1616
6%1/16
Leading at HT6%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

6%1/16
63%10/16
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

56%9/16
31%5/16
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

38%6/16
56%9/16
HT/FT Same Outcome47%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

38%6/16
0%0/1
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
20%1/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered52%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

83%5/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 16/1616/161616
7%
0-15'6%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

5%
20%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
27%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
7%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

29%
13%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
27%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

24%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 16/1616/161616
36%5/14
Scored First39%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

43%6/14
64%9/14
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

57%8/14
40%2/5
Win when Scoring First45%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%3/6
11%1/9
Win when Conceding First24%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

38%3/8
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

39'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

23'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 16/1616/161616
25%4/16
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

31%5/16
25%4/16
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

6%1/16
100%1/1
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0%0/1
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
0%0/16
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/16

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 16/1616/161616
93%14/15
Open-Play Share94%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

95%20/21
7%1/15
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

5%1/21
0%0/15
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/21
8%2/25
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

15%3/20
0%0/25
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%1/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1616
3.88
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.44
4.44
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.44
47%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
-0.12
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.39
44%7/16
Match Corners > 8.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

44%7/16
31%5/16
Match Corners > 9.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

44%7/16
19%3/16
Match Corners > 10.525%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

31%5/16

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 16/1616/161616
2.13
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.50
13%2/16
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/16
14.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.00
80%12/15
Match Cards > 3.583%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

86%12/14
15/1614/16
67%10/15
Match Cards > 4.576%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

86%12/14
15/1614/16
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

60%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBari at home · Catanzaro on the road
77
1.71
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.29
43%3/7
Win Rate36%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%2/7
14%1/7
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%2/7
1.29
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.14
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
29%2/7
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%2/7
71%5/7
BTTS64%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%4/7
29%2/7
Over 2.543%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%4/7
1.63
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.21
1.12
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.45