African Nations Championship·
Group Stage - 2·08/08/2025·13:00
Guinea
Guinea
WDDLD
0-3
Finished
HT0-1
Uganda
Uganda
LWLDL
📍 Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Last 10African Nations Championship
Guinea10matchesUganda10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
62%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

48%
1524
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1467
61%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

55%
62%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

40%
1.27
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.13

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.80
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.60
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
50%
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
40%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.80
60%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
40%
Over 1.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
30%
Over 2.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
10%
Over 3.510%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

10%
30%
BTTS30%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
11%
Scored Both Halves6%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

0%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
50%
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
0.90
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.58
0.39
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.93
0.50
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.34
0.45
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.38

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
11%1/9
Leading at HT16%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
67%6/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
22%2/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
44%4/9
HT/FT Same Outcome57%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

70%7/10
100%1/1
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%2/2
50%1/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/109/101010
0%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
36%
16-30'27%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
0%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

33%
27%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

17%
9%
61-75'5%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
27%
76-90+'22%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

17%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/109/101010
57%4/7
Scored First56%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
43%3/7
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
100%4/4
Win when Scoring First90%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%4/5
33%1/3
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
45'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

48'
48'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

22'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/109/101010
33%3/9
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

11%1/9
0%0/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

11%1/9
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
11%1/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

11%1/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/109/101010
91%10/11
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%6/6
9%1/11
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/6
0%0/11
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/6
25%1/4
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

9%1/11
0%0/4
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/11

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/109/101010
67%4/6
Match Cards > 3.558%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

50%1/2
6/102/10
17%1/6
Match Cards > 4.58%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

0%0/2
6/102/10
83%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

36%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeGuinea at home · Uganda on the road
46
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
50%2/4
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%3/6
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%3/6
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.83
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
50%2/4
Clean Sheet42%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
50%2/4
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%2/6
25%1/4
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%3/6
1.18
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.81
0.44
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.74