Cup·
Group Stage - 5·09/30/2025·11:00
Rubin
Rubin
LDDWD
0-1
Finished
HT0-1
Zenit
Zenit
WWWDW
📍 Ak Bars Arena, Kazan

Stats below use each team's main league —Premier LeagueRussia

Last 10Cup
Rubin10matchesZenit10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
47%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

88%
1384
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1553
45%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

84%
49%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

92%
2.06
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.88

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
0.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.60
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

80%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%
30%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
50%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
0.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

3.00
50%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
60%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
40%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

70%
30%
Over 3.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

50%
30%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

40%
0%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

60%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.10
10.43
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.17
7/106/10
4.43
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.33
7/106/10
2.29
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.67
7/106/10
52%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

85%
7/106/10
30%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.27
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.73
1.69
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.05
-0.42
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.68
-0.17
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.54
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.19

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
12.29
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.50
7/106/10
3.29
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

6.33
7/106/10
8.57
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.17
7/106/10
70%
Box Shot %72%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

73%
7/106/10
27%
On-Target %39%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

51%
7/106/10
8%
Shot Conversion14%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

20%
7/106/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
42%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

55%
7/106/10
72%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

81%
7/106/10
319.43
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

415.00
7/106/10
-0.16
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.20

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
40%4/10
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%5/5
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered67%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%1/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
0%
0-15'7%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
29%
16-30'21%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
29%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
29%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
0%
61-75'12%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

23%
14%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

20%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
33%3/9
Scored First67%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

100%9/9
67%6/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

0%0/9
67%2/3
Win when Scoring First78%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

89%8/9
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0/0
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

33'
42'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
10%1/10
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
100%2/2
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%8/8
0%0/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/8
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
86%6/7
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%27/30
14%1/7
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%3/30
0%0/7
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/30
12%2/17
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/11
0%0/17
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/11

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
5.43
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.17
7/106/10
2.71
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.83
7/106/10
67%
Corner Share64%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

62%
7/106/10
0.26
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

3.06
43%3/7
Match Corners > 8.555%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%4/6
7/106/10
29%2/7
Match Corners > 9.539%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%3/6
7/106/10
14%1/7
Match Corners > 10.524%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%2/6
7/106/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.70
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.33
9/10
10%1/10
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%1/9
9/10
11.40
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

7.11
9/10
89%8/9
Match Cards > 3.587%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

86%6/7
9/107/10
33%3/9
Match Cards > 4.545%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

57%4/7
9/107/10
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeRubin at home · Zenit on the road
34
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
67%2/3
Win Rate58%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%2/4
33%1/3
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%0/4
0.67
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.25
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.25
67%2/3
Clean Sheet58%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%2/4
0%0/3
BTTS25%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
0%0/3
Over 2.525%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%2/4
1.71
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.91
0.96
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.18