Premier League·
Regular Season - 30·05/17/2026·11:00
Baltika
Baltika
LLLDD
1-2
Finished
HT0-1
Dynamo
Dynamo
WDDWL
📍 Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Season statsPremier League
Baltika29matchesDynamo29matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premier League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
37%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

68%
1452
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1418
52%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

62%
22%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

74%
1.99
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.99

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2929
1.59
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.45
38%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

38%
45%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

31%
17%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%
48%
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
31%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2929
1.28
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.69
69%
Scored > 0.578%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
62%
Over 1.571%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

79%
24%
Over 2.541%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

59%
17%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

38%
34%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

66%
3%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
28%
Scored Both Halves29%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

31%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2929
0.66
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.34
10.76
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.69
3.24
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.45
2.52
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.10
78%
Save %69%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

61%
48%
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2929
1.31
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.09
1.04
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.49
0.27
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.60
-0.18
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.34
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2929
12.34
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.28
4.03
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.72
7.45
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.93
60%
Box Shot %59%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

58%
33%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

31%
10%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2929
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

55%
66%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
316.69
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

420.55
-0.06
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2929
45%13/29
Leading at HT47%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

48%14/29
41%12/29
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

31%9/29
14%4/29
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

21%6/29
55%16/29
HT/FT Same Outcome53%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

52%15/29
62%8/13
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

64%9/14
50%2/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%3/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 29/2929/292929
22%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
14%
16-30'21%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

29%
11%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
22%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

15%
11%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

8%
22%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

21%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 29/2929/292929
64%16/25
Scored First61%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

57%16/28
36%9/25
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

43%12/28
63%10/16
Win when Scoring First59%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

56%9/16
11%1/9
Win when Conceding First14%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%2/12
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

24'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

32'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 29/2929/292929
21%6/29
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

31%9/29
21%6/29
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

34%10/29
71%10/14
Lead Saved after 75'77%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

82%9/11
29%4/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

18%2/11
0%0/29
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/29

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 29/2929/292929
84%31/37
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%43/48
14%5/37
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%4/48
3%1/37
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/48
5%1/19
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%3/40
5%1/19
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%2/40

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2929
3.41
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.45
4.45
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.69
43%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

54%
-0.78
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.40
48%14/29
Match Corners > 8.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

69%20/29
34%10/29
Match Corners > 9.545%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

55%16/29
21%6/29
Match Corners > 10.531%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

41%12/29

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 29/2929/292929
2.97
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.93
14%4/29
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

3%1/29
19.03
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.97
92%24/26
Match Cards > 3.583%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

73%19/26
26/2926/29
73%19/26
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

58%15/26
26/2926/29
66%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBaltika at home · Dynamo on the road
1414
1.86
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.43
50%7/14
Win Rate43%

Share of sampled matches won.

36%5/14
14%2/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%4/14
1.36
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.43
0.57
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.14
57%8/14
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%2/14
29%4/14
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

71%10/14
21%3/14
Over 2.532%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%6/14
1.57
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.85
0.74
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.31