Premier League·
Regular Season - 6·08/24/2025·13:00
FC Sochi
FC Sochi
LDDLL
0-2
Finished
HT0-1
Baltika
Baltika
DLDWL
📍 Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
Last 10Premier League
Sochi10matchesBaltika10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
39%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

51%
1307
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1421
37%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
40%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

45%
3.48
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.20

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
0.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.20
10%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

60%
70%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
0%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

40%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
80%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

60%
100%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
80%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
40%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

10%
80%
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
0%
Scored Both Halves5%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

10%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.90
16.14
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.60
7/105/10
5.43
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.80
7/105/10
3.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.60
7/105/10
55%
Save %56%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

57%
7/105/10
0%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.49
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.69
2.36
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.07
-0.87
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.62
-0.12
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.23
0.18
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
9.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.40
7/105/10
3.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.60
7/105/10
4.86
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.80
7/105/10
54%
Box Shot %58%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

61%
7/105/10
33%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
7/105/10
11%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%
7/105/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

46%
7/105/10
74%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

68%
7/105/10
351.86
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

302.40
7/105/10
-0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
40%4/10
HT/FT Same Outcome45%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%5/10
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won42%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

33%1/3
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered42%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
9%
0-15'20%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

30%
9%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
45%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
0%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
18%
61-75'19%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
18%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

20%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored First49%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

57%4/7
60%6/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

43%3/7
25%1/4
Win when Scoring First38%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%2/4
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

22'
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

16'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'15%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

10%1/10
70%7/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
50%1/2
Lead Saved after 75'58%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%2/3
50%1/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%1/3
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
82%9/11
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%9/10
9%1/11
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%1/10
9%1/11
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/10
8%2/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

22%2/9
4%1/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/9

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
2.86
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.40
7/105/10
5.86
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.40
7/105/10
33%
Corner Share41%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

50%
7/105/10
-3.20
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.15
57%4/7
Match Corners > 8.559%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

60%3/5
7/105/10
29%2/7
Match Corners > 9.544%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

60%3/5
7/105/10
29%2/7
Match Corners > 10.534%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

40%2/5
7/105/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.22
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.80
9/10
22%2/9
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/10
9/10
10.78
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.90
9/10
56%5/9
Match Cards > 3.578%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%7/7
9/107/10
56%5/9
Match Cards > 4.578%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

100%7/7
9/107/10
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

73%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSochi at home · Baltika on the road
47
0.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
0%0/4
Win Rate7%

Share of sampled matches won.

14%1/7
50%2/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%2/7
0.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.86
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.86
0%0/4
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

43%3/7
75%3/4
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

43%3/7
50%2/4
Over 2.539%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

29%2/7
1.86
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.96
1.51
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.04