Segunda Liga·
Regular Season - 33·05/09/2026·10:30
Penafiel
Penafiel
LWLWW
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Maritimo
Maritimo
WWLWD
📍 Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
Season statsSegunda Liga
Penafiel32matchesMaritimo32matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Segunda Liga.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
47%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

69%
1401
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1540
48%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

70%
45%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

67%
3.79
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.13

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3232
1.19
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.06
31%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

63%
25%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

19%
44%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%
38%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%
34%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

16%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3232
1.09
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.53
66%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

84%
66%
Over 1.566%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

66%
38%
Over 2.538%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%
16%
Over 3.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

22%
44%
BTTS44%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
9%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

22%
13%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

31%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3232
1.16
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.78
2.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.00
1/321/32
2.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

1.00
1/321/32
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.00
0/321/32
0%
Save %50%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

100%
1/321/32
38%
Clean Sheet41%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

44%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3232
1.73
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.83
1.69
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.04
0.04
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.80
-0.38
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.30
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.17

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3232
0.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.00
1/321/32
0.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

7.00
1/321/32
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.00
0/321/32
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
1/321/32
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

64%
1/321/32
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

36%
1/321/32

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3232
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
0/321/32
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
0/321/32
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

327.00
0/321/32
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.06

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3232
13%4/32
Leading at HT28%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%14/32
53%17/32
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

44%14/32
34%11/32
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

13%4/32
56%18/32
HT/FT Same Outcome56%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%18/32
75%3/4
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

86%12/14
18%2/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered34%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 32/3232/323232
9%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

22%
3%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
29%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

12%
9%
46-60'12%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
17%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
34%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

22%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 32/3232/323232
48%13/27
Scored First60%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

71%22/31
52%14/27
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

29%9/31
69%9/13
Win when Scoring First76%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

82%18/22
7%1/14
Win when Conceding First15%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

22%2/9
48'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
26'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

62'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 32/3232/323232
25%8/32
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

31%10/32
19%6/32
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%8/32
71%5/7
Lead Saved after 75'82%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

93%14/15
29%2/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

7%1/15
0%0/32
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/32

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 32/3232/323232
77%27/35
Open-Play Share82%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%43/49
20%7/35
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%4/49
3%1/35
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

4%2/49
3%1/38
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

15%4/26
3%1/38
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%2/26

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3232
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

0.00
0/321/32
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

10.00
0/321/32
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

0%
0/321/32
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-10.00
0/0
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

100%1/1
0/321/32
0/0
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

100%1/1
0/321/32
0/0
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0%0/1
0/321/32

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 32/3232/323232
2.47
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.90
31/32
9%3/32
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

23%7/31
31/32
0.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

0.58
31/32
83%24/29
Match Cards > 3.587%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

91%29/32
29/32
69%20/29
Match Cards > 4.575%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

81%26/32
29/32
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePenafiel at home · Maritimo on the road
1616
1.44
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.19
38%6/16
Win Rate53%

Share of sampled matches won.

69%11/16
31%5/16
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%3/16
1.13
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.75
0.94
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.69
44%7/16
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%8/16
38%6/16
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

38%6/16
25%4/16
Over 2.534%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%7/16
1.62
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.97
1.15
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.98